I’ve been MIA for a bit, life has been extremely hectic, but things are slowing down. So let’s get down to business and talk about UFC Vegas 56 and some fighters to target.

Chalk

There are two fighters I like above 9k. Erin Blanchfield is at the top of the list and is the highest-priced fighter at $9600. Blanchfield is a relentless wrestler and grappler, and will get the fight to the mat and dominate with her top game and pressure. In her last fight against a respectable opponent in Amanda Maverick, she scored 115 fpts with seven takedowns and 12 minutes of control time. Her opponent JJ Aldrich is on quite a run, winning 4 out of her last five fights. Her takedown defense is decent, but I don’t think she’s ever faced the caliber of wrestler like Blanchfield. I expect Blanchfield to win via decision or late stoppage, but she will score well over 110 fpts. 

Rinat Fakhretdinov is another guy I’ll get to at $9200. Fakhretdinov is making his UFC debut, which is risky, but the guy is very well rounded, and he is a finisher. I’ve seen some footage of him, and he can be wild. He’s not the most technical striker, but he has some serious power. If he can’t knock you out, it’s a setup for the takedown where I honestly think that’s his strong suit. Again, I think the high price tag may scare some folks, but I believe Fakhretdinov is a good play, given his opponent’s damage in recent fights.

Others to consider: Movsar Evloev – Has the potential to score well but has his hands full with Ige. Ige does have a puncher’s chance.

Mid-Tier

Honestly, there are not a lot of fighters at this $8900-8000 range that I’m 100% sold on. Alonzo Menifield $8700 is a decent play because Menifield should win this in the first round. His opponent, Askar Mozharov, has had a spotty career and his record isn’t even 100% legit. Menifield should finish this guy early, as he’s the better athlete and fighter, but the cardio is always a concern. I’ll also consider Joe Solecki at $8400. Solecki is the better wrestler and jiu-jitsu practitioner here; the only thing is can he get the fight there. Alex Da Silva is no slouch, and I think he’s the better striker of the two. The more likely scenario is that Solecki gets the fight to where he needs it and takes the back to get a submission win.

Others to consider: Ode Osbourne 

Dogs

The first dog that piques my interest is Johnny Munoz at $7800. I like Gravely, don’t get me wrong; decent fighter, great wrestler. However, I think Munoz has the tools to give Gravely a lot of trouble. Munoz has an excellent jiu-jitsu game and some slick submissions. Anyone that has a submission victory via heel hook is someone you don’t want to mess with on the mat. Gravely will get this fight to the floor because I believe that’s his only path, but Munoz will eventually find an opening to get a submission win. Munoz has a chance to score well with sweeps; he’s a very live underdog.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is another guy that is mispriced ($7600), in my opinion. This fight should be a pick, and the fact that we get Rozenstruik at an excellent price is fine with me. Alexander Volkov may be the taller guy with the reach, but Rozenstruik’s power, quickness, and the kicking game will be the difference. I don’t expect a 1st round stoppage, but I think the leg kick counters that Rozenstruik will throw, will eventually lead to a solid opening for him to end the fight. 

Other to consider: Dan Ige (see above)

Good luck with your lineups, and enjoy the fights!!!!