Two middleweights take center stage this weekend for UFC Vegas 41. Marvin Vettori and Paulo Costa meet in the main event, but not at 185 lbs, since Costa could not make the middleweight limit. I will say that this card is a tad better than the previous two weeks, but it’s not the greatest. We do, however, have a pay=per-view to look forward to next weekend. So let’s take a look at some fighters to target.

Chalk

Grant Dawson $9300 – Dawson is the second-highest-priced fighter on the slate, and I like what I’ve seen out of Dawson since he arrived in the UFC. First off, Dawson has the best cornerman in the business (James Krause), and while his striking has improved, his grappling has also improved. There’s no doubt that Glenn is a tough out, but I think Dawson is just the better athlete and better all-around fighter with more paths to victory. 

Mid-Tier 

Marvin Vettori $8600 – I know one thing about Marvin Vettori, he’s a professional; he’s always shown up ready to fight and always makes weight. Paulo Costa arrives in Las Vegas, from the looks of it, out of shape. Costa didn’t even try to make weight. I don’t think Costa will hang with Vettori if this goes past two rounds, and I see this as a one-sided affair. Eventually, Vettori will get this to the ground, and Vettori’s pressure will be just too much to handle. Costa used to be one of the brightest prospects in the UFC, and to look at him now is puzzling. Vettori rolls here.

Others to consider: Jeff Molina

Dogs

Khama Worthy $7400 – In my opinion, this line should be a pick-em, but here we are. Both guys have taken a decent amount of damage in the past few fights, but I think they are both somewhat even on the feet, but I give Worthy the grappling advantage. Worthy is the more powerful guy, in my opinion, and is the more capable of scoring a first-round stoppage. We’ll see what happens, but Herbert being this big of a favorite, is baffling.

David Onama $6700 – Onama won’t be in all of my lineups, but I can see Onama’s athleticism and quickness giving Jones trouble early on. There is limited footage on Onama, and he’s not as experienced as Jones, but what I do like from Onama is his ability to close the distance and has solid counters that you just don’t see coming. If Onama wins this fight, it will be inside the distance, and if it goes to the 3rd round, I can see Jones taking over and using his wrestling. With that being said, I have to take a shot with Onama as I think he has a good chance of pulling off the upset. If I don’t put Onama in a lineup, I’ll counter with Jones. To do well in these contests, you have to be different, and I don’t think Onama will be a popular dog at all.

Other dogs to consider: Dwight Grant, Jocelyn Edwards