Well, last week’s result was so-so…ended up with a little profit. In the co-main, we continued to see the evolution of Charles Oliveira; he’ll have the belt soon, in my opinion. The main event delivered for sure, but no winner made a massive difference in who won the slate. So, Saturday is the last UFC event of the year, and after that, there will be a three-week break. It’s a pretty damn good card with a lot of exciting matchups. Let’s get to it…
There is not one fighter above 9k that I like or all-in on. There are two fighters in this price range making their UFC debut. The only guy I feel comfortable taking is Tafon Nchukwi. I like what I’ve seen from Nchukwi, and he’s a proven finisher. Jamie Pickett may have the experience edge, but that’s it. His striking defense is poor, and he leaves himself open to getting cracked. I can see Nchukwi getting a KO/TKO here. I’m saving money on the rest of the guys…not interested.
I could be wrong, but I don’t think this will be a very entertaining fight. I think it will be a technical chess match that Wonderboy will most likely win. I give Neal a shot to win this if he can land clean, but Thompson’s footwork and defense are extremely hard to deal with. I will have both in some lineups, but I’ll also have a lineup or two with neither.
Michel Pereira and Khaos Williams – These guys are priced at $8300 and $7900, respectfully. This fight will be wild. Both of these fighters can end the fight early, especially Khaos…he typically doesn’t like to go more than a minute.
Cody Durden $7700 – Jimmy Flick sure did impress in his Contender series win, but you need to look at his body of work and ask yourself if he should be favored in his fight. Yes, Flick has a solid grappling edge, and his transitions are slick, but he’s a one-trick pony, while Durden has the advantage on the feet and can hold his own on the mat with his wrestling. Flick’s chin will be tested here, and I think Durden can get the win.
Marlon Vera $7600 – It’s no secret that I’m a fan of Chito Vera and impressed by how much he’s progressed, but I think he is facing Aldo at the right time. Vera’s striking has improved leaps and bounds under Jason Perillo, and I think the volume will be too much for Aldo. I also consider the damage Jose Aldo took in his last fight, which is less than six months ago. Aldo took so much unnecessary damage in his fight against Petr Yan and ended up absorbing 193 significant strikes in what was one of the more egregious late stoppages we’ve seen in quite some time. Vera’s maturation, along with the inevitable decline of Aldo, makes this an easy decision for me. Alex Morono at $7000 and Rob Font at $7200 will also make a lineup or two as I think they both have favorable matchups and are both live dogs, in my opinion.