I have to admit this isn’t the most incredible card, and from a DK perspective, it’s pretty tricky. The original main event was scrapped, and we now probably get a better fight. Also, throw Brendan Allen into the mix, and we have an ok card. I won’t be heavily invested this weekend, but there are some fighters to target, so let’s take a look.
I do not particularly like anyone above 9k. If I had to, it would probably be Kay Hansen at $9200. Her striking is so-so, but her wrestling and grappling are pretty solid. We last saw her opponent, Cory McKenna, on Dana White’s Contender Series in a brutal fight to watch. Hansen is on a different level here, and I can see her catching a sub here.
Rafael Dos Anjos $8800 – First off, all the respect in the world to Paul Felder for taking this on short notice. I will most likely have Felder in a lineup or two, but I favor RDA in this matchup based on Felder taking this fight on short notice, and I think RDA is better at 155. Dos Anjos has fought the best of the best at both 155 and 170, and I think he will be able to take Felder down repeatedly and control the fight. The winner scores well here, and believe that will be Rafael Dos Anjos.
Kanaka Murata $8600 – Murata may be low owned, and I might throw her in a lineup or two. Murata, at one point, fought in Rizin and, most recently, in Invicta. She didn’t look too impressive in her last fight, a split decision win over Emily Ducote, but she has looked solid in her previous fights. Murata has an excellent submission game and a great wrestling background. She also has a Von Flue choke on her resume, not bad. I think Randa Markos will be a good test for her as Markos has a solid jiu-jitsu game, but Murata’s strength will differ. Murata has the potential to score well with takedowns and advances and could pull out a sub. I think she’s a sneaky play.
Khaos Williams $7100 – I just think Alhassan’s career is on a downward trajectory. Keep in mind that Khaos Williams has a long reach advantage. If Williams can weather the early storm in the first three minutes, it’s a winnable fight. I think the line is way off here, and I see a lot of potential in Williams. Alhassan trains at a great gym, but he’s 35, and I just don’t trust the guy.
Brendan Allen $7900 – I will admit I’m not as high on Allen as I was last week (the fight was canceled), but I do like him against the experienced Strickland at this price. Strickland looked ok against Marshman a few weeks back, but his performance certainly didn’t blow me away. Allen seemed to have a hard weight cut last weekend, and this will be at a catchweight (195), so it does give me a little reservation. I like the way Allen has progressed here, and I think he has a massive grappling advantage. I’ll take a friendly price with Allen.
Best of luck with your lineups, and enjoy the fights!