The UFC heads to Stockholm, Sweden this Saturday as Alexander Gustafsson takes on Anthony Smith in a pivotal light-heavyweight clash. The rest of the card is somewhat watered down, and when I have that opinion the number of lineups I have will be limited compared to a pay-per-view. Here is what I’m looking at. Keep in mind we are a week away from UFC 238, a card that I like from both a betting and DFS standpoint, so if you don’t have a good feel for this card, my advice is don’t go heavy. These European cards have some weird outcomes more often than not. Rewind to a year ago when Liverpool played Real Madrid in the Champions League final. That same day Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson took on Darren Till in an absolute snoozefest of a main event on a card that featured a lot of questionable decisions. Well here we are, The Champions League final is Saturday and we also have the UFC card in Sweden. Anyways, let’s take a look at the salaries.

Chalk

Leonardo Santos $9200 – Santos has won 4 straight in the UFC, but he is coming off a very long layoff. The layoff is my only concern and hopefully he’s 100%, because if he is he is better in every aspect than Stevie Ray. Ray is one of those guys that just hasn’t improved. His wins are all against subpar competition, and against higher level guys it’s just a total mismatch. I’ll have Santos in quite a few lineups.

Mid-Tier

Chris Fishgold $8300– I like Fishgold at this price as I think his cardio and pace will be too much for Amirkhani. Amirkhani is just too inconsistent while we’ve seen Fishgold improve. Wouldn’t be surprised to see the Brit get it done inside the distance.

Volkan Oezdemir $8400 – There has been some money in the betting markets coming in on Ilir latifi, and I get it, but I think many are underestimating Oezdemir here. Latifi is a great wrestler but his standup is lacking. I expect Volkan to keep this standing and have his way with Latifi. I get it, Volkan is on a 3 fight losing streak, but go back and watch his last fight against Reyes, he was robbed and I do think we get a solid effort from Volkan here.

Split Ownership

Rakic/Manuwa – Jimi Manuwa is entering or has entered the twilight of his career, but he has the power to make things interesting. Rakic is a really good prospect that could also end it early. I’ll have more Rakic here but I wouldn’t count Manuwa out completely.

Gustafsson/Smith – I’ll have more of Gus for sure, but I’ll have Smith in some lineups as well. Smith has said that he has no gameplan, and that this will be his last fight of 2019. Smith has been extremely active, as this will be his 6th fight since February of 2018. I don’t really know what his mindset is. Gustafsson is by far the more technical striker, and if he keeps the fight at range he will have a lot of success. Smith is a pretty durable fighter in his own right, and all it takes is one shot to change the fight, but I favor Gustafsson here. This fight has 5 round decision written all over it.

Underdogs

Devin Clark $7500 – Clark is the underdog on DK, but has taken a lot of money in the betting market and is now a slight favorite. Clark’s wrestling will give Darko Stosic a lot of problems. A lot of people were really hyped when Stocic knocked out Jeremy Kimball in impressive fashion, but this is a big step up in competition for the Serbian.Christos Giagos $7100 – I’m seeing many not giving Giagos a chance against Damir Hadzovic. Like Clark, Giagos has a solid wrestling base, and if he can get this to the mat he can have success. Giagos can make this an ugly fight, while he’s not the better striker, he is the superior wrestler and grappler, and I believe he is the stronger guy as well. He needs to pace himself, but if he can manage his gas tank he can win this fight.