The UFC heads to Rochester, NY this Saturday as Rafael Dos Anjos takes on Kevin Lee in the main event. There is a lot of chalk on this card, 6 guys priced above 9k, so the dogs and mid-tier fighters will play a big part on who gets the money. Let’s take a look, as there’s a lot of ways to go as far as ownership.

Chalk 

Vicente Luque $9400 – Luque was supposed to face Neil Magny but due to a failed drug test he’ll take on Derrick Krantz, a former LFA weltereight champion. Luque should take care of business here but I won’t have a lot of him due to Krantz being a short notice replacement. Crazy stuff can happen in these situations sometimes. Luque should roll here but ya never know.

Charles Oliveira $9300 – Oliveira has scored 92 fpts or more in his last 4 fights. I’ll have some of Chuckie Olives in my lineups, but I’ll have Nik Lentz in one or two lineups. Keep in mind this will be the third time these two have fought. Oliveira is on a roll but Lentz did have some success in the 2nd round of their last contest.

Davi Ramos $9400 – When it comes to high level Jiu-Jitsu practitioners in the UFC, Davi Ramos is one of the few. Ramos’ strinking has improved a lot in the past two years, and I expect him to get a finish early. I will have a lot of Ramos in my lineups.

Mid-Tier

Trevin Giles $8300 – This is actually a pretty nice price for Giles, consider he’s 11-0 (2-0 in the UFC) and has scored 90 and 133 in both his Octagon appearances. His opponent Zak Cummings is going to try to make this fight ugly, but I think Giles can end it early. I won’t have a lot of exposure but I do like him in some lineups.

Kevin Lee $8000 – When I saw the prices for him and Rafael dos Anjos, I was immediately thinking split ownership, but I really like Lee in this spot. Colby Covington and kamaru Usman have laid the blueprint on how do beat RDA, and I think Lee is one of the better wrestlers in the UFC. His cardio should be better too now that he doesn’t have the weight cut. I know that lee is making the move to welterweight, but RDA isn’t the biggest welterweight as he made the transition from 155 not too long ago.

Underdogs

Grant Dawson $7900 – I was actually surprised Dawson was the underdog here but he’s now the favorite. The kid is pretty talented but my only reservation with him is his cardio. Hopefully he’s learned from his last fight, where he gassed hard but was still able to pull out a win. I think he’ll score highly here with takedowns, but just needs to pace himself.

Ian Heinisch $7500 – I’m not a fan of mma math, but let’s just take a look at the guys that Antonio Carlos jr has beaten. Tim Boetsch, Jack Marshman, Eric Spicely, and Marvin Vettori. Not exactly a list of world beaters. Heinisch is a different animal, and his heart is unmatched. I believe the only way Carlos Junior wins this is in the 1st round. After that this is Heinisch’s fight to lose. Heinisch hits harder than every guy that Carlos Junior has faced, yes even Dan Kelly. I think heinisch can keep this on the feet and win the stand up but it wouldn’t surprise me to see him go for a takedown either, and his ground and pound is pretty fierce. The longer this fight goes the better it is for Heinisch.