What can I say about UFC London? What an absolute disaster, Danny Henry gets submitted quickly, Gunnar got outclassed, and both Volkan Oezdimir and John Phillips got absolutely robbed. Oh, and Danny Roberts got screwed too, don’t know what to tell you there. Some of these events across the pond certainly have their fair share of controversy it seems. It was good to see Jorge Masvidal win in impressive fashion and the aftermath was entertaining as well. Let’s see if we can profit on this card as the UFC returns to Nashville.

Chalk

Curtis Blaydes $9000 – I’m hearing some support for Justin Willis, and that’s fine, but I think there is a lot of recency bias when it comes to this matchup. Blaydes is coming off a TKO loss to Francis Ngannou, while Willis is coming off a decision win over Mark Hunt. Willis trains with top notch wrestlers at AKA, but we haven’t really seen him have to stuff a takedown in the Octagon. Willis is kind of a point fighter, but I think Blaydes is really a bad matchup for him. Some think the stoppage in the Ngannou fight was a bit premature, but plain and simple he got caught. Do I think Willis is the kind of guy to put Blaydes on the floor with one punch? No, not at all. Blaydesneeds a win to stay relevant in the division, and I do think he gets Willis down to the mat. I think this has 30-27 or late stoppage written all over it, Blaydes rolls on Saturday night.

Split Ownership

Stephen Thompson / Anthony Pettis – I can see this fight go many ways.• Pettis via TKO• Pettis via Submission• Thompson via TKO• Thompson via decision

The path to victory is there for both competitors. Pettis could take this to the ground where he holds and advantage and I think he can hold his own against Thompson standing. I don’t know what to expect out of Pettis at welterweight but I’m looking forward to seeing it. Thompson hasn’t been exactly lighting the world on fire in his last few fights, so this will be interesting. I’ll have more of Pettis but I’ll have some Thompson too. I will say this, Pettis is a very live dog.

Mid-Tier

Maycee Barber $8900 – We know that the majority of women’s fights go to a decision, but Maycee Barber is a finisher. In her UFC debut she scored 112, and although she’s got a step up in competition in J.J Aldrich, she is moving up to flyweight, so I think that will benefit her. I usually fad hype trains, not here. Maycee is no joke.

Bobby Moffett $8800 – Moffett is coming off an impressive, yet controversial submission win over Chas Skelly. Moffett has really improved over the past year or so, and as far as I’m concerned this guy is a totally different fighter than what we saw in LFA. I think his opponent’s style plays right into Moffett’s hands, Mitchell is a guy that is really aggressive and his toughness can’t be questioned. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to have Mitchell in a lineup or two, but ultimately I see Moffett getting a submission win as he capitalizes on Mitchell’s inexperience.

Underdogs

Jussier Formiga $7700 – Formiga has one 3 fights in row and has once again put himself back in the title picture. He takes on the undefeated Deiveson Figueirdo, who has definitely impressed in his past two fights knocking out Joseph Morales and John Moraga. Formiga’s strinking has improved but I’ll be realistic Figueirdo is better skilled in that aspect. On the other hand, when it comes to the mat the skill gap is wider, as Formigawithout a doubt holds the edge. If Figueirdo wins this, he’s probably in line for a title shot, but I think Formiga hands Figueirdo his first loss, as his experience I think is key. Figueirdo is impressive don’t get me wrong, but look at the level of competition he’s faced. Formiga is a really big step, and it will show on Saturday.

Jordan Espinoza $7500 – Espinoza is making his UFC debut, and when I looked at the odds I was quite surprised to see Eric Shelton at -150. Shelton has been up and down the past 2 years going 2-3 in the UFC, and I just haven’t seen any improvement. Espinoza is a solid wrestler with good cardio and I can just seeing him out 

Steve Peterson $7000 – Sometimes it’s not the dog in the fight, but the fight in the dog. Peterson takes a lot of shots, but the guy is tougher than a 3 dollar steak. His opponent Luis Pena is moving down to featherweight and he missed weight by 2.5 pounds. Sometimes when a fighter moves down in weight it does affect their ability to take punishment. He either had a bad weight cut or didn’t give a shit about making weight. Either way, he’ll have his hands full with Peterson.