The UFC makes it’s first visit to Wichita, Kansas as former UFC heavyweight champion Junior Dos Santos takes on Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis in the main event. This is quite a tricky card so from a DFS perspective I personally will not be aggressive as far as the number of lineups I put in. This is one of those events you could see chalk dominating but you could also see a good number of dogs cash. Do keep in mind that this is the first UFC event in the state of Kansas, so you don’t know how the judging is going to play out. You could see some wacky shit go on for sure.

Chalk

Junior Dos Santos $9400 – With Junior’s recent form there should be no surprise that he’s the top priced fighter. If he fights a smart fight he should certainly finish Lewis being the better techinal striker and all-around better guy. Don’t get me wrong, having Lewis in a lineup wouldn’t be a bad idea, but JDS should rack up enough significant strikes and a finish in the 3rd round. He should be able to score 90 to 100 points in this one.

Anthony “Rocco” Martin $9200 – This is a tough fight for Martin and while I’ll have him in some lineups, I’d actually prefer to have more of his opponent, Moraes. I know Martin has looked really good in his past few fights but Moraes is severely underrated and if he can get this to the mat he can make it quite interesting. I don’t think many realize how good Moraes is.

50/50

Tim Means / Niko Price – I think this fight could go three ways…Price could end this in the 1st or second round with a sneaky submission, or Means could end it in the 3rd or win via decision. Price will pay off his salary regardless with a win, and Means could just overwhelm price with his superior striking and volume. This should be a highly entertaining fight with the winner scoring 90+ points.

Mid Tier

Yana Kunitskaya $8900 – Kunitskaya should be able to take down Renau a few times and cruise to a unanimous decision. Yana should be a -300 favorite in my opinion. She’s not a bad option to have in a few lineups.

Louis Smolka $8300 – Considering all the possibilities on this card, I really don’t know what the ownership on Smolka will be. Since he was released from the UFC in early 2018, he went 3-0 in the smaller circuits, all inside the distance. Smolka then made his return to the UFC in November 2018 winning via sub in beijing China. Smolka looks refocused, and getting him at this price is a real bargain. He alays scores high, even in his losses. I think Smolka wins Saturday and I think he’s on the winning lineup.

Dogs

Dan Moret $7600 – Many may look at Moret’s UFC debut and not be impressed. First off just watch the whole fight, Moret had his moments. Another thing to consider is he took the fight on 4 weeks’ notice. Not an easy task. Now we have Alex White, who’s coming off a submission loss to Jim Miller. White’s 3 wins are against less than stellar competition, and Moret’s grappling and all-around game combined with White’s fight IQ has me liking Moret here.

Drew Dober $7200 – Benny is chinny, and a doberman pincher has a pretty good bite. That’s all I’ll say.

Zak Ottow $7100 – How Ottow is at this price fighting Alex Morono is leaving me scratching my head. Morono has never really impressed me, and Ottow’s grappling and clinch game can make it dicey. I can easily see Ottow winning a split decision here.

Sergio Moraes $7000 – See above.