We are one week away from UFC 259, but this weekend the heavyweights take center stage once again as Cyril Gane takes on Jairzinho Rozenstruik in the main event. It’s a decent card from top to bottom with many live dogs; let’s look at some fighters to target.

Chalk

I do like Magomed Ankalaev at $9300, but he has his toughest test to date in Nikita Krylov. We all know that Ankalaev has the advantage on the feet, but if Krylov can weather the early storm and somehow get this to the mat, things will get interesting. I will have Ankalaev in a good number of lineups but will have Krylov in a few. 

I think Cyril Gane has the skillset to get the job done against Jairzinho Rozenstruik, but this is a big step in competition for the Frenchman. Rozenstruik is the better striker, but it does bode well for Gane, who has a tremendous grappling advantage with the smaller cage. I will more than likely be 50/50 on this fight, as each fighter has a legit path. Let’s not forget what we saw last weekend, and Rozenstruik has some serious power. I’m very much looking forward to this fight.

Mid-Tier

There is not one fighter I’m mainly sold on at the 8.9k-8k price range. I’ll more than likely look at putting Dustin Jacoby in a few lineups, but his opponent missed weight by 4 ½ pounds, so I’m proceeding with caution.

Dogs 

Kevin Croom $7400 – First off, I will say that there is no way Kevin Croom should be this big of an underdog to Alex Caceras. Croom is coming off a submission win over Roosevelt Roberts overturned due to a positive marijuana test (that was the rule at the time). Croom is the bigger, stronger guy here, and while Caceras might be the faster and more fluid striker, we’re in the smaller cage. This means that these guys will end up on the fence in the clinch, and I think Croom can get this to the mat where he holds the advantage. People may see Caceras having the longer UFC tenure, but Croom is the more experienced guy that’s paid his dues on the regional scene. I always say you want to back a guy that will fight for your money, and Croom is one of those guys.

Pedro Munhoz $7900 – Pedro Munhoz and Jimmie Rivera fought back in November of 2015, with Rivera winning via split decision. In that fight, Rivera outstruck Munhoz 98-67. Fast forward six years; who has improved more? The answer is Pedro Munhoz. He’s not the more technical striker, but he’s better on the mat, has a better chin, and has a lot more power. Munhoz has more paths to victory here, and I have to take him at this price.Thiago Moises $7500 – I won’t get too much into this fight, but ask yourself this….Who has improved more in the last three fights, and who has looked more impressive. In my opinion, it’s Moises who has improved more and has more paths to victory. Alexander Hernandez, I feel, is a round 1 or bust fighter, and don’t be fooled from his last fight. I think Moises can catch a sub in late round 2 or round 3. I’ll take the dog here.