Chalk

Umar Nurmagomedov $9600 – Nurmagomedov has multiple paths to victory here, he’s incredibly well rounded and is better than Kelleher everywhere. Nurmagomedov isn’t like Khabib or Islam, he’s not the prototypical Dagestani fighter. He has a solid ground game but his striking is on the same level. There is no doubt in my mind that Umar can end this early.  

Others to consider: Kevin Holland

Mid-Tier

Jalin Turner $8200 – I really like what I’ve seen from Turner as of late, his size presents a problem for most guys at 155. I do feel like Mularkey will be a popular underdog, but I think Turner’s length and quickness will give Mularkey a lot of problems. Mularkey unquestionably has the power to end this early, but Turner’s ground game will be the difference here. Turner is just the faster guy, better athlete, and I think he has more paths to victory. I’ll gladly take Turner at $8200.

Others to consider: Sergei Spivac (I think he destroys Hardy)

Split Ownership

Masvidal/Covington – Masvidal has a chance to end this in the first two rounds, and he knows Covington’s tendencies, so it will be interesting. Covington’s cardio I feel will take over afterwards as he’ll eventually get the takedowns and control the fight from there. Colby is coming off a war with Usman, and he took a significant amount of punishment while I feel Masvidal has taken the appropriate amount of time off since his knockout loss to Usman. The winner scores well here.

Dos Anjos/Moicano – This fight is pretty hard to fade, I feel like one of these guys will be in the optimal lineup. I really like what Moicano brings to the table but it’s a short notice catchweight fight. I’ll have more of Moicano but Dos Anjos is a solid play as well.

Dog 

Edson Barboza – Look I get the hype with Bryce Mitchell, but this is a HUGE step up in competition. Mitchell is an outstanding grappler, no question, but he’s an average wrestler. Mitchell’s success is based on him getting the fight to the mat. Edson Barboza has been up against superior competition and if this fight stays on the feet, which I think it will….Edson will piece up Mitchell. Mitchell has a bright future but I believe this has ‘Vet Lesson’ written all over it. I will have Mitchell in a lineup or two but I favor Barboza here.

Others to consider: Nicolae Negumereanu

Best of luck and enjoy the fights!