Chalk

Casey O’Neill $9500 – I have no problem paying up for O’Neill in this spot. O’Neill is a finisher, she’s averaged 126.8 fpts in her 3 appearances, and it’s not like she’s fighting cans. Lower level? Yeah, I guess, but when you make your debut against Shana Dobson and score 4 takedowns, have about 7 ½ minutes of control time and score 139.6 fpts delivering a 2nd round TKO, it’s hard to ignore. Her opponent Roxanne Modaferri has always flourished as an underdog, but this is her retirement fight, and I think once O’Neill takes control of this, which will be early, Modafferi will look for a way out. O’Neill has multiple paths to victory here, and while Modafferi jiu-jitsu is pretty solid, O’Neill is just a different animal. 

Other chalk to target: Lawrence

Split Ownership

Lewis/Tuivasa – These guys are gonna stand and bang and I do think someone is going out in the 1st round. I prefer more Lewis but will have some Tuivasa as well. I will have some lineups with no Lewis or Tuivasa as it could be one of those staring contests (doubtful), but it’s something you should keep in mind.

Main Event

Seeing how this is a rematch, I’m pretty hesitant on including Adesanya and Whittaker in any lineups. I think this is going 5 rounds, and in Adesanya’s fights that have went the full 5, he hasn’t scored to well. I will more than likely get to either of them in some lineups but have no problem just leaving it out. I’m pulling for Whittaker but I think Adesanya wins via late stoppage or decision.

Mid-Tier

Renato Moicano $8500 – I was always a fan of Moicano when he was at 145, but I definitely think he’s a lot better suited to fight at 155. Moicano just has to fight a smart fight and go to his bread and butter. Ne’s the better grappler here, and I can see him dominating Hernandez on the ground. Hernandez is apparently upset with where he is on the card, which is fine by me. Whenever a fighter is talking about where he’s placed on the card instead of focusing 100% on his opponent, that’s a big red flag. Moicano is just better everywhere in my opinion, and should score well in this spot.

Dog

Jacob Malkoun $8000 – Malkoun’s last opponent (Alhassan) is pretty similar to AJ Dobson. Dobson is a hard hitter, but I think the step up in competition here is pretty significant. Malkoun has to weather the early storm and then let his wrestling take over. This is Dobson’s UFC debut, and we saw what happened last weekend with a UFC debutante. Malkoun is kind of a no-brainer here. I won’t be all-in on him but he’ll be in quite a few lineups.

Other dogs to target: Silva de AndradeWilliam Knight (weighed in 12 lbs over, yikes)Diamond (in 1 or two lineups)

Best of luck with your lineups and enjoy the fights!!!