Not a good result last weekend, some of the judgings was horrible, but Khaos made a massive statement like I thought he would. Moving on, we have a vast card this weekend, 2 title fights, lovely card all-around. Let’s get to it.
Deiveson Figueiredo 9000 – I prefer Figueiredo, but I don’t think I’ll have him in too many lineups. Perez is exceptionally durable, and I can see this going the distance more often than not.
Valentina Shevchenko $9600 – Valentina is one of the greatest mixed martial artists in the world, her striking is second to none, and her ground game is pretty solid as well. I honestly think she should be priced above 10k, and I believe she dominates Jennifer Maia. However, If you want to go contrarian, take Maia, as she does have a path to victory if she can get this to the ground, although it’s highly unlikely. I think Shevchenko gets this done inside the distance as Maia cannot hang on the feet, and I expect Valentina to pick her apart and end it in the 2nd round.
Louis Cosce $9300 – I won’t be big on the youngster making his UFC debut, but I’ll have him in a few lineups. You might have seen him on the contender series, but he has a habit of finishing fights early. The guy he’s facing, Sasha Palatnikov, has fought in Angel’s Fighting Championship out of South Korea and most recently in the United Arab Emirates against low-level competition. I expect Cosce to finish it early here.
Tim Means $8000 – I have to take a shot with Means here, he is the better all-around mixed martial artist, and I don’t like what Mike Perry has had going on outside of the Octagon. Means is currently +123 and still priced at 8k. It will be a competitive fight, but I think Means is the better striker and has a better ground game.
Daukaus $8800 /Stoltzfus $7400 – This will be an entertaining fight, and I think the winner scores well. You’ll see a lot of takedowns, reversals, advances, and possibly a finish. I think the winner scores well here. I like what I saw out of Daukaus in his loss against Brendan Allen, and while the ending in Stoltzfus’ DWCS fight was odd, he’s very crafty and has a slick submission game.
Brandon Royval $7600 – Royval is relentless and is always looking for the finish. Now that he is training full time, the improvement in his game has shown. This is a tough test for Royval, but he’s just a guy I see improving with every fight. Moreno has never been finished in his career; that could change on Saturday.
Mauricio Rua $7700 – Can we get one more vintage performance from Shogun? Please? This is the second time Rua and Craig are fighting (their first meeting was a draw). We saw the worst version of Rua there, and I think we’ll see a better effort. I just have to take Rua at this price, I’ve never been impressed with Craig as a striker, and I don’t see this going to the ground.
Ariane Lipski $7800 – Look, just because her opponent’s name is Shevchenko, don’t put a whole bunch of stock into it. All Lipski has to do is get this to the ground…that’s it. There are few fighters on the roster that Antonina Shevchenko should be a -160 favorite against; Lipski isn’t one of them. Who knows, maybe a particular sleeveless tout will have her in a parlay. If so, the odds may be in your favor :).
Best of luck with all your lineups, and enjoy the fights!