We had a nice little Saturday morning last weekend as all of our main targets scored well with Gane, Evloev, and Maia. I mixed and matched some lineups and had a nice outcome. We turn the page to this weekend in what is one of the most anticipated Pay-Per-Views in quite some time. The main event features Nate Diaz taking on Jorge Masvidal for the BMF belt from Madison Square Garden. Yeah it’s not a title fight but this fight will deliver for sure. There are so many great matchups on this card, lets take a look at the main fighters I am targeting and some others I’ll be considering.

Main Event

Diaz/Masvidal – I will have somewhat split ownership here but I will have more Jorge in lineups. I think his hand speed and his low-kicks will ultimately be the difference along with his striking defense. jorge will definitely have his hands full with Nate’s volume, but I see him breaking nate down and winning via 4th rd TKO. The winner of this fight will score around 100 to 120 in my opinion.

Chalk

Johnny Walker $9,000 – I knew that Walker was the bigger guy but when these guys had their media day face-offs the size discrepancy was astounding. I am just not sold on Corey Anderson after wins over Latifi, Teixeira and Cummins. Walker is by far the better striker and much more athletic. Anderson’s chin is also a major factor, and in case you forgot go take a look at his fights against OSP and Jimi Manuwa. I think Walker gets an early finish here.

Mid-Tier

Jairzinho Rozenstruik $8700 – This is a really big step up in competition for Rozenstruik, but he just needs to let his hands go and touch that chin once and Arlovski will go down. Rozenstruik is by far the better striker and more athletic guy, and the athleticism that he possesses is pretty impressive. In his UFC debut he was a little gunshy in the beginning but in his last UFC performance he looked a lot more comfortable. If people want to go with Arlovski for some salary relief be my guest, but I think this fight is set up to feature the devastating striker from Suriname. One other note, Rozenstruik will fight Francis Ngannou in the next year and a half and that will be fun to see.

Dogs

I’m having a really tough time pinning down one dog I’ll be on 100%. I’ll have Vicente Luque ($7700) in a few lineups, my only concern with him is that Steven Thompson is an incredibly hard guy to hit, while Luque absorbs a lot of damage. It’s a tricky fight to call but I just fear that Luque plays into the hands of ‘Wonderboy’. Luque is Worth a shot. Chance Recountre ($7800) is another guy i’m looking at, Recountre is extremely durable and I think his grappling and cardio will be too much for Lyman Good.

Others to mix and match….

Gregor Gillespie $9100 – The only reason I’m not all in on Gregor is that this is a really big step up in competition. I do think he has the wrestling and more importantly the cardio to outlast Kevin Lee. I’m not expecting 130 fpts from ‘The Gift’ but I am expecting a solid performance. I think Gregor is destined for big things in the UFC after this fight.

Brad Tavares $7900 – I’ll be looking to Tavares for some salary relief, and I just have a feeling that the Edmen Shabazyan hype train may be de-reailed because while Edmen has been impressive, this is a huge step up against a savvy veteran that is a really tough mathcup. Tavares has had a long layoff, and I think many have forgotten that he has quite a few impressive wins on his resume. 

Makwan Amirkani $6900 – I think Amirkhani is a really tough matchup for Shane Burgos, and many aren’t giving him a shot. I think he’ll be low owned and if he could steal a win with some takedowns it could make for a good night.