It wasn’t the result I was looking for last week as I had minimal success with my lineups. I wasn’t surprised with the eain event though, Cannonier is for real folks and will be fighting for the strap within the next year and a half. On to UFC 243 this weekend in Melbourne, Australia. Look, I try not to shit on every other UFC card, but this card consists of two really good fights and the rest of the card is below average. I’ll be mixing and matching here and there, but here are some fighters I’m targeting.

Chalk

Megan Anderson $9400 – I really don’t know how popular Megan will be, I tend to think due to her price tag and her recent performance she won’t be too highly owned. She’s 1-2 but her losses are to Felicia Spencer and Holly Holm…I don’t think she’’ have much trouble against Farah Zairn…this fight is set up for Megan to get back on track in her backyard. I expect Megan to get the finish here.

Jake Matthews $9100 – I expect Matthews will be quite popular and I fully expect him to bounce back from his last loss to Rocco Martin. Matthews can score well here with takedowns and like Megan Anderson, this fight is pretty much set up for Matthews to put on a show. There is a high probability that the Australian gets the win inside the distance.

Mid-Tier

Robert Whittaker $8200 – I won’t necessarily be all in on ‘The Reaper’, as I’ll have Israel Adesanya in a lineup or two, but I like Whittaker to get the win here. Whittaker may not be the more technical striker, but his experience and durability as well as his ability to adapt throughout the fight will be the difference here. I won’t be surprised to see this go to the mat either, and I think Whittaker’s skills on the ground are overlooked. Adesanya has been on a hell of a run, but I think recency bias and Whittaker’s long layoff are factors in Adesanya being the betting favorite. I’ll take the more experienced guy here.

Dogs

Sergei Spivak $6900 – Call me crazy but I think Tai Tuivasa is one of the more overrated heavyweights in the UFC. I think he’s undisciplined, sloppy, and he doesn’t manage his cardio well. I think Spivak is the more well-rounded guy, and if he can weather the storm in the forstfew minutes he can take this fight over. I like Spivak to get the win, and if he gets a finish then that’s just icing on the cake.

Bruno Silva $7300 – Khalid Taha has some power, there’s no question about that, and it was evident in his 1st round finish of Boston Salmon. Bruno Silva is making his octagon debut, but Silva is a very talented fighter. Just ask Casey Kenney, the guy who has beaten Manny Bermudez and Ray Borg. Back in May 2017 Silva fought Kenney in LFA and I went back and watched that fight again. It ended in a draw but many say that Silva won that fight. Taha is a powerful guy but I don’t think his skill level on the mat and his all around game are close to Silva’s. Silva also trains with top-notch guys in the UFC like Henry Cejudo, Patricio Freire, and Hunter Azure. I’ll take Silva here at a nice price.