UFC 238 takes place this Saturday from the United Center in Chicago, Illinois. The main event will be for the UFC Bantamweight title as UFC Flyweight Champion Henry Cejudo takes on Marlon Moraes. The co-main will feature UFC Womens flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko taking on Jessica Eye. Perhaps the most anticipated fight of the evening features two lightweight legends as Donald Cerrone takes on Tony Ferguson in what should be an entertaining 15 minutes of violence. There are a few heavy favorites on the card as well as some tight lines, In total there are five fighters with a salary over 9k, so let’s take a look at the salaries.

Chalk 

Valentina Shevchenko $9600 – In my opinion Valentina is the pound for pound best female fighter in the division. Sorry but she won that Nunes fight the second go around, and I think she has the best all-around game at the moment. I think this will be utter domination against Eye and see her winning by sub, TKO or a 50-44 unanimous decision. She will score high if it goes to a decision based on the fact that her volume is so high. She scored 106 in her domination of Johanna, and see maybe more of an output here. I will definitely have her in some lineups.

Tatiana Suarez $9500 – I’ll have Tatiana in some lineups for sure. She is a beast and by far the best wrestler out of all women in the UFC and it’s not even close. 9 takedowns and 80 signifant strikes against Carla Esparza in her last contest…her point output? Oh, just 173 fpts. I respect Ansarov and loves that she trains with high level girls at American Top Team, but Suarez is the real deal and will be a champion very soon.

Petr Yan $9300 – Petr Yan has really impressed me in his recent fights, especially last December against de Andrade. He faces Jimmy Rivera, who is on a bit of a skid but is a solid wrestler. I think Yan should score well here and could put Rivera out, but I will have limited ownership on Yan. Some but not a lot.

Mid-Tier

Marlon Moraes $8300 – I think Marlon is the play here. First off he’s looked better with each fight, and secondly the size advantage that he will have can’t be ignored. I do respect Cejudo and I’ve been on him as a dog against TJ and Mighty Mouse, but Moraes is the real deal. Outstanding striking, footwork and solid Jiu Jitsu. His takedown defense is outstanding as well. I think he ends it around the 3rd or 4th round personally.  

Split Ownership

Sterling / Munhoz – I can see this fight ending early, both guys can end it via sub or KO, I’ll be 50/50 on this one, and the winner will score pretty decent.

Underdogs

Donald Cerrone $7600 – Cerrone appears to have put it in another gear since leaving Jackson-Wink, and while I respect the hell out of Tony Ferguson I am going with Cowboy here. I do think Cerrone can match the volume of El Cucuy, and I kind of have a feeling that the decline will start for Tony Ferguson. The guy has gotten clipped quite a few times in his recent fights, and he waqs dropped by Kevin Lee of all people. The window is open for Cerrone here, he just has to have a better start as he is somewhat of a slow starter. I just think Cerrone has really rejuvenated his career since switching gyms, he’s refocused and it’s paying off. I really hope to see this guy fight for the belt, he sure as hell deserves it.

Darren Stewart $7200 – I think it’s pretty absurd that Bevon Lewis opened up as big of a favorite as he did. Lewis is coming off a knockout loss to Uriah Hall and now he’s favored against the hard hitting Stewart. If you didn’t see the knockout please do so, it took him quite a bit to come to his senses. Don’t be surprised if Stewart does the same.

Ricardo Lamas $7200 – I like Calvin Kattar a lot, but you give me a guy like Ricardo Lamas fighting in his hometown a price like this and I’ll bite.

Good luck everyone!