A tradition unlike any other. The yearly MLB win total over and unders. In years past I’ve hit at least 3 and sometimes more of the 5 win totals chosen. Some get the, “duh, that’s obvious” comments, while others are like “wow, that takes some balls”. This year there are some of each. There will be 2 unders and 3 overs that I feel really comfortable with. If you do choose to bet these, bet within your means, don’t go crazy. Now, let’s have some fun with the Top 5 2019 MLB team win over/unders.
Atlanta Braves O/U 75.5 – UNDER
Yep, let’s kick things off with the defending NL East Champion Atlanta Braves. The Braves are coming off an outstanding 2018 season where they finished 90-72, winning the NL East by 8 games. For me, the Braves overachieved. They are a very good team. A very good young team. While the Braves overachieved, the Nationals and Mets underachieved last year helping the Braves win the division. The Braves went into the offseason with some holes to fill and didn’t do much to fill those holes. Their pitching staff is already beat up and they are relying on a lot of young, talented players to get the job done. The biggest concern I have for the Braves this season is the fact the Mets, Phillies and Nationals all got better. The NL East will be a battlefield all season and the Braves will be looking at a 4th place finish and a low 70’s win total.
New York Mets O/U 86.5 – OVER
Let’s stay in the NL East and talk about the New York Mets. Each season the Mets are favorites with the pitching staff they have. Problem is the starting rotation continuously gets banged up and the team falls short. This season things change. Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Zack Wheeler and a healthy Steven Matz will put together a big 2019 season. But, it isn’t just the pitching staff this season. The offense has gotten much better in new GM, Brodie Van Wagenen first season at the helm. The addition of Robinson Cano, Wilson Ramos and others will really strengthen the offense. Lastly, the addition of Edwin Diaz to bolster the back end of the bullpen is huge. I have the Mets winning the NL East and thus winning over 90 games in 2019.
Boston Red Sox O/U 94.5 – UNDER
Let me get this out of the way first, THE RED SOX WILL STILL BE VERY GOOD THIS SEASON!!!!! This pick is purely on the fact the Red Sox aren’t winning 95 games. Playing in the AL East doesn’t stink as they’ll get to probably beat the Blue Jays at least 12 times and quite possibly beat the Orioles 18 times. But, they have really done a bad job this offseason building their bullpen. They have lost one of the games best closers in Craig Kimbrel and haven’t done anything to replace him. The Sox are hoping Matt Barnes and Ryan Brasier can save the day, but it doesn’t seem like the best plan. To keep this short and sweet, the Sox may score a million runs but the Yankees are winning the AL East while the Sox take one of the AL Wild Card births, but don’t win 95 games.
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 86.5 – OVER
The defending NL Central champs won 96 games last year and are back again to do damage in 2019. The Brew Crew may have one of the top offenses in the NL, heck maybe top 5 in all of baseball. The addition of Yasmani Grandal behind the dish and bringing Mike Moustakas back is huge in keeping the offense strong. The starting rotation isn’t great, but they have decided to start the season with Chacin, Woodruff, Peralta, Burnes and Davies possibly giving the Crew the most upside they have had in their starting rotation in a while. Last year they had one of the best bullpens with Hader, Jeffress and Knebel, but there is some concern with Jeffress and Knebel being hurt at the moment. With those injuries there are rumors of Craig Kimbrel possibly joining the crew which would be huge. The Brewers are going to be very good again this season and they will repeat in winning the NL Central while also winning over 87 games.
Minnesota Twins O/U 84 – OVER
Lastly we take the over with the Minnesota Twins. This may be my favorite win total in this article. The Twins are coming off a disappointing 78-84 2018 season. They have addressed some issues in the offense by adding C.J. Cron, Jonathan Schoop, Marwin Gonzalez and Nelson Cruz. They have Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler getting better and better in the outfield. They will have Jorge Polanco back for an entire season and they are hoping Byron Buxton finally lives up to his potential. If there is something to pick on with the Twins it would be the starting rotation. But, it really isn’t that bad as Jose Berrios leads the way. Kyle Gibson was much better last season. Michael Pineda and Martin Perez have looked great this spring. They will have the luxury of beating up the Royals, Tigers and White Sox; as well as a down Indians team. The Twins will WIN THE AL CENTRAL and easily win over 84 games in 2019.