Track: Darlington

Laps:293

Dominator points: 219.75

Fast Laps: 146.5

Laps Led: 73.25

Welcome back Degens, as we finally have NASCAR back from the Corona Virus postponement.  I hope everyone is well and safe first and foremost.  This breakdown will be different than previous as we have no practice or qualifying to go off of, the first laps on the track will be green flag race runs.  There will be a competition caution at lap 30 to allow teams to work on cars.  I will post my 3 favorite plays in each price range in this write-up and a fade or two in each as well.

Let’s dive into Sunday’s race, as always all data points are from the last 6 races unless noted.

10k+:

Kyle Busch (4):  Kyle ran well here last year started 33rd finished 3rd led 118 laps he comes in as my favorite guy in this range.  Avg finish of 6th here the last six races and 59.08 DK avg.

MTJ (15): I like MTJ as well he offers some PD upside as well as dominator potential starting 15th.  11.83 avg finish and 51.42 DK avg.

Kevin Harvick (2):  Harvick is my 2nd favorite play in this range.  Avg finish of 4.17 and 79.42 DK average and gives a little bit of PD upside as well

Fades:  These guys are all solid and tough to say fade but….

Joey Logano (9):   He has won 2 of the 4 points races this year and has been on fire with the new team but he averages a finish of 13 and 36.33 DK avg both the lowest in this range.

8k-9.9k:

My faves in this range

Erik Jones (20): This is Jones best track, he won here last year led 79 laps.  Has a 4.67 avg finish and 69.58 DK avg in his 3 races here.  He’s the top play in this range.

Kurt Busch (22): Ran really well here last year, led 94 laps and had a very strong car, being teammates with Larson I think helped him  14.5 Avg finish and 46.58 DK avg.  has a great PD upside.

Alex Bowman (2):  Numbers here aren’t great but Hendrick has been very strong to start the season, and he dominated Auto club which is the last high tire wear track we have raced.  This pick is more off of recency and the fact that I believe he will be low owned.  

My fades:

Clint Bowyer (13) starts a bit high for me with an average finish of 22.17

6k-7.9k

My Faves

Ryan Newman (21): Newman is back in the 6 car after the horrific crash at Daytona.  I like him here he’s a solid driver gets the most from his car and doesn’t get into too much trouble.  Avg finish of 13.33 and 38.88 DK Avg.

Chris Buescher (24):  Offers some PD with his starting spot and has an average finish of 14.75 here I will take that all day long and 37.75 DK avg.

Tyler Reddick (29):  Has been the best of the 3 rookies so far this season,  and this track fits his style well.  Starting 29th offers some PD upside. 

My fades:

Aric Almirola (5): Starts too high for me

Matt Dibenedetto (3): starts to high

Matt Kenseth (12): this is more a wait and sees approach, as he takes over for Kyle Larson.  No seat time no track time for him or the crew chief to dial in his preferences.  Solid driver in a great car here just not sure how it translates.

The Rest 6k below:

Ty Dillon (33):  Is the best play in this range the industry will be heavy on him starts 33rd and has an average finish here of 18.00.  that’s great PD upside.

Pivots

JHN (34): shows some promise then wrecks tread lightly

Hill (38): will gain some ownership from his Iracing success I believe starts 38th as a safe floor.

Fades:

Lajoie (19): starts too high to play here. 

Thanks again for reading and good luck this weekend, jump in the slack chat with us for race day chat and adjustments.