So I’m still recovering in more ways than one after an epic weekend at the Farmer Insurance Open. I’m pumped to not be at the WMPO, because ill get a chance to watch some golf sober.
Let’s start off by recapping last week like we always do. I’m starting with the bad. Chesson what the crap was that? Leader after 8 holes at -4 and then got hit with a nuke. I thought we were onto something there and I was getting really excited and then the meltdown occurred. Now the good. Another week and another Ruby top 10. This time Tom Hoge. Tom was in contention on Sunday, which I also had a 200-1 on him so I was super pumped. Cashed the top 10 at 11-1 through. Pat Perez made the cut which was helpful but didn’t do much in terms of contending. Another fantastic call was the coal of the week. Straka was touted heavily and people got super burned by him. I said it was an ownership fade which turned out to be very helpful.
Let’s get this week going!
Ruby #1: Sam Burns ($6800)– I was on early on Burns last week as well even though he didn’t make the rubies card. His irons have been on fire last 2 tournaments gaining 2.7 on approach at the AMEX and 2.3 on approach at the Farmers. His T2G game has also been a super positive aspect gaining over 5 at Amex and 1.3 at the Farmers. We know when Sam gets hot he can get hot. He’s getting hot right now if you ask me. He lost 1 stroke putting at the Famers and now goes to his best surface for putting in Bermuda. He did miss the cut last year here but his form coming in was hot garbage. He is in much better form now and he can compete here. Ill bet him at 200-1 and top 10 and top 20 as well.
Ruby #2: JJ Spaun ($6400)– Yes I’m sure everyone’s first thought when they read this was “Oh shit Ruvy going full bias on his boy.” That is not the case or I would have picked him last week. Yes, I bet him every week we all know that. TPC Scottsdale is his home course. Torrey used to be his home course. He plays very well at both of these events historically. He hit the ball extremely well at Farmers finishing 30th. Spaun coming off a week where he gained 3.5 shots on approach and 2.5 T2G. He recently got married and that part of his life has settled down. I spoke with his father and mother this past weekend and they really feel he is ready to make a big splash. Made the cut each time he played and wasn’t hurt here at TPC Scottsdale. The one year he WD with an injury. He’s fully healthy right now and playing good golf. 250-1
Ruby # Chesson Hadley ($6900)– Well get ready to puke again everyone because I am not backing down off this train. I must be a glutton for punishment by playing him again this week, but it is what it is. He’s popping all over my model still. He was -4 through 8 at Torrey Pines South Course this last week. He was not great at all last year and still managed 20th here last year. Finished 5th here in 2018 as well and has made ¾ cuts all time here. People refused to play him last week and that turned out good for them, but they aren’t going to jump on him now. Of course I will I guess so why not jump in with me at 200-1 and FRL bet.
Coal: Cameron Tringale ($6900): Cameron always has played well in California and that didn’t stop this year. Making both cuts thus far in CA. He has been very good at Pebble Beach in the past as well. He has not been good in Phoenix. Missed 5/7 cuts here. He hasn’t missed a cut since the Northern Trust Open. I think that could change this week. Lost strokes T2G at Torrey to the tune of 1.9 strokes and lost OTT 2.1 strokes. Could get him in serious trouble here this week. No thanks on Cameron. Find a better play above and start there.