Well followed the mess up with the biggest hit of my life. I cashed for $43.6k on draft kings off $425 in entries. The main piece from an ownership standpoint that separated me was Cam Davis. I absolutely nailed him. He started with the old In&out double/double on Thursday. Scratched it back to get to +1 and finished with three straight rounds of 65. If he starts with a double and par on Thursday I win $105k but coulda wouldashoulda. Very pleased with last week. Garnett crapped the bed on Friday and Wes Bryan had a hot Thursday and not much after that. Ventura made the cut but didn’t factor in at all. Onto this week. 

Ruby #1: Keegan Bradley ($6600)– the home town narrative has been very successful since the restart. Day played very well in Ohio, Morikawa winner in Northern California, and this past week Denny McCarthy and HV3 played well in their home state. Im going with home town Keegan this week at a tournament he has never missed the cut at. He has never really factored into the winner, but he has won a playoff event before. Keegan will not pop in any model including mine. Keegan putts best on bent grass historically. He did gain 10 strokes on approach at the Workday charity Open. Since the return Keegan has only missed 2 cuts but hasn’t really placed well. He will go under owned because my god he’s a god awful putter, but surprisingly he only lost .2 putting at the PGA.

Ruby #2: Talor Gooch ($6500)– Gooch has been crushing his irons as of late. He ranks in the top 45 back to the last 100 rounds. He gained 4.6 on approach at the Wyndham and five strokes on strategy at the 3M open. He is a very good putter and didn’t put great at the Wyndham. I expect that to change and him to gain more on putting. He has not played at this course in the past, but he has 3 top 25s in his last 5 tour events combined with 2 MC. 

Ruby #3 Luke List ($6700)– Long irons, long irons, long irons! We all know Luke List can hit his long irons with the best of them. Ranks top 25 in all ranges from the past 50 rounds and in, according to my model. His iron play has been absolutely on fire. The one thing that we know won’t be on fire with Luke is his putter. He has lost 7.5 putting and 7.7 putting last 2 weeks. He did make the cut at both those vents but holy crap that is not good. According to Fantasy National those are the 2 worst putting performances of his career. He is still striping his irons. He has gained on approach his last 4 tournaments including 5.4 strokes on approach at the PGA Championship and 2.4 at the Wyndham. His T2G game has been his best as he has been very good T2G averaging over 6 strokes gained t2G last 4 tournaments. 

Coal: Denny Mccarthy ($6700)– We usually like to play good irons players that putt poorly the week before. How about fading bad iron players that just had the approach game of their life the week before? That is what I’m doing this week. Mccarthy just gained 7 strokes on approach and he has never done that. If he does that he should win, not just top 10 with how great of a putter he is. I expect a regression to the mean on his approach this week. Ill be full fade on McCarthy.