Next installment of the Rubies is in as we head to my home State of California. Born and raised an hour from the courses this weekend and actually got married in 2011 in Palm Springs. It is truly a fantastic area and a golf heaven for golf lovers. If you have a chance take a gander at The Nest restaurant. Used to be frequented by Arnold Palmer himself and its truly a landmark in Palm Springs.
Lets start off by recapping last week. The Norlander call was truly a thing of beauty. Less than 2% owned in almost every contest and finish top 10. I think I got that one right. Lashley made the cut and did just fine. He definitely hit his value. Hearn was a shot in the dark and he did miss the cut. I did say that before hand. The coal was spot on also even though it hurt my heart to pick against Duncan. A Missed cut and chalk hurt quite a few people.
Lets get this week going!
Ruby #1: Nick Watney ($6700): Nick has played this course very well in the past and played it many times. He has had success at CA courses in the past as well with a. win at Torrey Pines before. A 14th place finish back here in 2015 came with -2.5 strokes in putting. Has made the last 2 cuts here. He can be a straight driver of the ball and struggles putting. Maybe he gets a hot putter and we get a top 10. The field is weaker than it has been in the past and that’s saying a lot. Watney has the experience and the talent to compete here. For his season this looks like a big tournament.
Ruby #2: Doc Redman ($6800): I know he burned a lot of people last week, myself included. I’m diving back into that well though. He has the talent and pretty much had a bad round 1 last week. He turned it around after that. He lost almost 5 strokes putting last week. He was still gaining strokes off the tee and T2G. In that wind that is impressive. I think the putting cant get worse. He ranks top half of my rankings and his long term rankings are even better. He ranks 7th last 50 rounds in my model. I like his long term ranking this week given the limited data we are working with on these courses.
Ruby #3: Jimmy Walker ($6600): This seems like a pure value play. I understand he hasn’t been good lately, but he got better last week. After 4 straight MC he finished 45th at the Sony. So I would say that was an improvement. He’s a major champion and priced at a 1st time player on tour level. He likes California as he has won in the state before. I think this is another shot in the dark but this seems like a value play for a guy who plays par 5s well and an score.
Coal: DJ Trahan ($6700): This one is different this week. Trahan measures out highly in all my stats. So I was tempted to click him this week and go heavy. Then I looked at his history here. He has missed 5/7 cuts here with his best finish being 54th. I can’t get past that history since its not just a short period of time. Maybe he doesn’t like the pro-am. I’m staying completely off him.