Ruby #1: Russel Henley ($6600)– The last tourney I was heavy Henley at $9200, and he broke my heart missing the cut. This week he is priced accordingly to the field, but I still think $6600 is a steal. Henley ranks 2nd overall in my model last 24 rounds. He has gained on approach each of last 3 tournaments. He has lost a lot putting each week culminating in losing 3.6 strokes putting at the 3M open. He has been a tee to green monster and has only lost strokes putting. He’s an above average putter on bent and below on POA. I’m treating the greens this week as a combination of those 2. So if he putts average I like his chance of making the cut. Worst Henley is ranked in my model is 25thand that is the last 100 rounds. He is top 11 in all other rounds categories that I look at. I could be wrong, but I have a great feeling about Henley this week.
Ruby #2: Ryan Palmer ($6900)– This guy has been a ball-striking machine as of late. Gained 9.7 strokes T2G at St Jude after winning 13.1 strokes T2G at the Memorial. Lost 4.4 strokes putting at ST Jude and still finished 15th. Now priced at $6900 because the strength of the field. He gained 10.2 on approach at the Memorial and 4.9 on approach at the ST Jude. Like I said a ball striking machine as of late. He has also gained around the green each of last 2 weeks. Has a 2nd place finish at Torrey Pines 2 years ago. He has the length. HE knows how to avoid the rough. Last 12 rounds Palmer ranks as the 8th best in my model. Last 8 he ranks 2nd and last 4 ranks 7th. It’s just putting that killed him last week. I think Palmer top 20 bet is a good bet as well.
Ruby #3 Ryan Moore ($7000)– Ryan Moore has been getting a lot better each of the last three weeks. He has steadily been getting better with his irons. He gained a 7.3 on approach at the 3M Open this previous week. The same can be said for his T2G game and at the 3M he gained 8.3. Both are the best in 2020. He is rounding into great form and still a cheap price. He can get a hot putter from time to time and if it happens this week he will contend for a top 10.
Coal: Harold Varner III– He has been atrocious lately. He was missing the last two cuts. It is not just putting. His putting hasn’t been that bad. Been losing on approach, T2G, OTT as well. He has been steadily declining since the Travelers Championship. He is a lot of peoples favorite underdog to root for because he is a good guy, but I am not playing him at all.