What’s up, Degens! My apologies, as I did not have time to get a pod out this morning, however, I didn’t want to leave you guys hanging, SO, here is a few plays at each position for GPPs, for tonight’s nice 9-game NBA DFS slate! REMINDER: these are TOURNAMENT plays. Hope you enjoy!
1. Devin Booker (vs LAC, $7,900)– I believe it is time for Booker to hit a surge, and what better way to do that than returning to Phoenix after a three-game road trip, as well as against a Clippers team that has allowed the 5th most DK fantasy points to opposing SGs thus far on the season. Booker has been serviceable at best lately, going for 40 or more DK points in his last five of seven contests. This game sports a 232 total, and both squads lie within the top 10 in terms of PACE on the season, so expect this game to move rather quickly. With the top of the SG list hosting both James Harden AND Brad Beal, I could easily see Booker go under-the-radar here tonight, and because they are playing the Clippers, a generally decent defensive team, this makes me like this play that much more. Booker has averaged 44.5 DK fantasy points over his last four home games, along with an average of 36 mins per game, and a 1.24 FP/M. He has also carried a hefty 31.0% usage over his last five games in Phoenix. In the lone game Booker faced the Clipps this season in LA, he put up a 30 point, six board, eight assist stat-line in 38 minutes, with a 29.4% usage rate.
2. Josh Richardson (@ CLE, $5,200)– Ben Simmons is out for quite a bit, and this has inserted Al Horford back into the starting five. Richardson is going to now be one of the main ball-handlers for the Sixers going forward, and this is great news for him. His price is still down a bit, and we can take advantage of a sneaky pace-up spot for the Sixers and Richardson here in CLE tonight, as the Cavs are running with the 11th fastest PACE in the league over their last 10 games. The Sixers have also run with decent pace lately, ranking 13th themselves in this regard over their last 10 as well. To go back to the situation without Simmons on the floor a bit more, it is actually JRich who sees the 2nd highest usage rate on the team at an overall 24.0% and a 0.96 FP/M, right under Joel Embiid. He gains an extra 2.5% usage than usual with Ben on the floor, also an additional +3.89 actual points per 36 as well. We know that the Cavs have struggled to defend the guard positions this year, and JRich has topped 27 DK fantasy points in three of his last four contests. I highly expect JRich to top 30 DK points tonight, and his upside will be there.
3. Derrick White (vs DAL, $4,100)– Using my punt for the guard spot on Derrick White tonight at home against the Mavericks. Yes, we know the Spurs have been bad, well, to be honest they have been dreadful. Also, let us not fail to mention that they have been on an eight-game road stand, and returned home, and have had close to three days of rest since then. The Mavericks will be playing their fourth game in six nights, and their third road game out of the four as well. The Mavs have been prone to give up decent amounts of fantasy points to opposing PGs, as they have given up the 8th most DK fantasy points to the spot over their last 10 games, so I think White fits this bill well tonight, as he has been one of the more consistent Spur guards off the bench. White has now seen 25 or more minutes in three of his last five, with four of those five seeing at least 20, and he has also eclipsed 22 fantasy points in four of his last six as well, with three of his last four seeing 24+ DK points.Again, need to remind he was seeing upwards of 26-28 minutes regularly before this big road stand, where the Spurs were behind quite a bit, not to mention he had topped 30 DK points in two of his last three in San Antonio, before hitting the road.Decent punt value here with some upside at the price.
1. Aaron Gordon (@ ATL, $7,800)– I don’t exactly know if Gordon will garner the usage tonight, but I am banking on his having a little, but not as much as he should for the spot. I will go out on a limb, and almost say that this is one of my favorite spots on the board tonight. Air has been very good lately, couple that fact with the situation here, as the Magic are getting a MASSIVE pace-up spot here in ATL, as the Hawks have been a top five PACE team all season long. This total is around 228, which is unusual for a Magic game, so love the game-flow that we can expect already. Also, the Hawks are allowing the 2ndMOST DK fantasy points to opposing PFs over their last 10 games, so plus another factor for Air here. Now, to the rest of the goods, Air has averaged 49.25 DK points, with 39.0 MPG, and a modest 1.26 FP/M over his last four contests. For the month of February, he has started nine games so far, garnering 23.3% usage, averaging 36.1 MPG, 19.3 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 4.9 apg, 1.4 spg, and 0.6 bpg. Needless to say, he’s absolutely cranked it up a notch to an elite level this month, and his season-high numbers are there to show it.
2. James Johnson (@ MIA, $5,300)– Not totally in love with Johnson’s price here, but the dude has been uber-consistent since joining the Wolves. Let us be real, the Wolves have not been that competitive since the injury to Karl Anthony-Towns, and this has allowed a lot of garbage run, in which Johnson has been getting to partake in. He has now seen 24 or more minutes in his last three of four contests, while chipping in 28 or more DK points in his last four-straight. He has scored nine or more actual points in his last three of four, while ripping down at least five or more rebounds in his last three, also has swatted nine total shots over his last four, with six total steals as well, and eight of more FGAs in his last four to boot. The production has been there, he has been consistent, and he should get the garbage run once again tonight, as the Heat should get to them quickly off the bat.
3. Kelan Martin (@ MIA, $3,100)– Hate to stick with two Minnesota bench players, but in GPPs you must find the cheap spots that no one will be looking at, that could potentially bolster your stud lineups. Martin has been good over his last two, being one of the first off the bench. He did see a big dip in minutes of course with D’Angelo Russell returning, only seeing just 15 minutes last game, however, he still managed to put up 25 fantasy points in those 15 minutes. The game before, played 30 minutes off the bench being the first guard off the bench, and amassed 29 DK points as a result. He has produced at least 20 or more fantasy points in his last four of six games as well. He has nice upside, as he is aggressive, as well as is active in other statistics, such as rebounds and assists, and as the same mentioned above for James Johnson, I would expect him to see some garbage run, and could be a nice 2-part tandem with James as well.
1. Montrezl Harrell (@ PHO, $5,800)– Digging this spot for Harrell in PHO, in a nice, fast-paced game. Harrell has averaged 36 DK fantasy points in his last five contests, while also seeing an average of 27.2 mins per game, good for a 1.33 FP/M as well. PHO has been decently bad against the Center spot for most of the season, and I believe that Harrell will be the nice producer off the bench here tonight. Obviously, could easily pair up Harrell with Lou Williams in a correlation stack, which I also believe will be a very low-owned stack, in a nice spot. In two games vs the Suns this season, Harrell has averaged 27.5 mpg, 23.7% usage, 21.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.0 spg, and 1.0 bpg. So, we can see that he has had nice success against them as well prior to tonight’s game.
2. Jarrett Allen (@ WAS, $5,300)– For some reason, it is hard to predict which Center will get the most run in Brooklyn on most nights. However, Allen is still the starter, and has been producing well as of late, not to mention the fact that he is $100 cheaper than his direct back-up in DeAndre Jordan on DK tonight. Not only is this an excellent spot against the Wiz, who have allowed the 5th most DK fantasy points to opposing Centers on the season, it is also a nice pace-up spot for the Nets and Allen here as well, as the Wiz have run with top five PACE all season. Just about every game the Wizards play in has a total of 230 or higher, nothing changes here tonight as this game sits with a total of 235.5 at the current moment. SO, with that said, why don’t we try to grab a nice, cheap, value piece from it to help get the studs? Allen has three double-doubles in his last four contests, and has put up 27, 35, 36, and 42 DK FPs in his last four of five as well. In his lone game against the Wiz earlier this season in Brooklyn, Allen played just 27 minutes, but notched out 13 points, 15 rebounds, five assists, and two swats. Good spot here again for Allen tonight at his price.