What is up, Degens! It is Monday and we have yet another medium, five-game slate in the Association on tap. The people wanted an article over a podcast, so we will have an article for you guys! I am going to do this one in the same format as the first, going over three player options from top, mid, and value tiers for each position for tonight’s slate. (DraftKings emphasis once again)
TOP: Ben Simmons ($9,100) – As it seems like the Shake Milton at PG experience has already fizzled out for the Sixers after just one half of their first basketball game since the return, we get point-Simmons once again. Ben’s price is quite high tonight, which we hope will decrease his ownership. He gets a lovely matchup against the Spurs, who have struggled quite a bit against the guard spots so far over their first two games since the restart. The Spurs allowed De’Aaron Fox to torch them for 39 actual, three boards, six dimes, a steal and a block, while also allowing Ja Morant to notch 25 actual, nine boards, and nine assists in their match up on Sunday. Both performances yielded well over 40 fantasy points for each PG, and we can expect Ben Simmons to have a similar line back with the ball mainly in his hands again.
MID: Dejounte Murray ($6,200) – It has yet to be reported if Brynn Forbes will return tonight, but once again the Spurs look to be down at least one guard as Marco Bellineli is listed as doubtful to suit up for the Spurs match against the Sixers. Murray really came alive in Sunday’s game against the Grizzlies, going for 21 points, 10 rebounds, three dimes, and two steals in route to a 44 DK fantasy point effort. Patty Mills did return in this one after a one game hiatus per the coach’s decision, but that did not cut into Murray’s floor-time as he still saw 34 minutes. Hopefully, this is a good sign for Murray, as we know in the earlier season we were mostly questioning how many minutes he would play each night. However, it is worth noting that he did only play 21 minutes in the Spurs first game of the restart against the Kings. Either way, Aaron Holiday just put up a double-double in route to over 35 DK fantasy points against this same Sixers team. The Spurs will need Murray to continue his play going into tonight’s game.
VALUE: Jordan Clarkson ($4,900) – As the Jazz continue to search for offense, Clarkson will continue to chuck up as many shots as he possibly can while he is on the floor. Clarkson has played 24 and 32 minutes in both games since the restart for the Jazz, and also leads the team for that span in terms of usage as well sitting at 30.8%. Clarkson, who started his NBA career with the Lakers playing there from 2015-2018, may just have a little bit of revenge on his mind in this one as well? Clarkson has already taken a total of 34 FGAs in the two games the Jazz have played, so he is going to continue to be aggressive, and what better team to try to shoot the lights out against than his former team? Like the play here on Clarkson tonight against the Lakers
TOP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($6,000) – I’ll be the first to say that SG is a bit of a waste-land tonight, as the top-priced plays don’t exactly appeal to me that much. I will likely be paying down for SGA tonight against the Nuggets, as they are still without the likes of Gary Harris, and maybe even Jamal Murray once again. SGA played 32 minutes in the Thunder’s first match against the Jazz, and even when the game got out-of-hand later in the 2nd half, he still saw his full allotment of minutes, and that is what you want in a fantasy option. He put up 36.5 DK points on the night, scoring 19 actual points, with two rebounds, six assists, and three steals, while carrying a modest usage rate at 22.7%. Denver could likely be thin at the guard spot once again, given the status of Murray, so we will look to take advantage here with SGA, who I feel is a very crafty, lengthy, and talented guard.
MID: Troy Brown Jr. ($5,200) – IF you missed the Troy Brown Jr. near triple-double performance from Sunday, no worries, I did as well. It was a great matchup however, and he is once again in another fair match up tonight against the Pacers, who will already be without Oladipo, and maybe Malcolm Brogdon once again. Brown Jr. went for 50.5 DK points on the night last night, scoring 22 points, grabbing 10 boards, with eight assists, and one steal. His 38 minutes on the court were also very encouraging, and we won’t mind paying this kind of price for a guy with his upside if he is going to see these kinds of minutes on the court.
VALUE: Grayson Allen ($3,100) – I could have easily gone with JJ Redick here, and I will likely have some Redick also at $3.7K, but I suppose I like the high-risk, high reward we could get here with Allen at literally zero ownership. Allen played 22 minutes in the Grizzlies first game of the restart and played 28 minutes yesterday against the Spurs. Now, I know that the bump in minutes could easily have been due to the foul trouble on both Dillon Brooks and De’Anthony Melton, but I must say that Melton has not been impressive in the first two games back for the Grizz, and we could easily see Allen start to carve into his role as the two-guard in this rotation for Jenkins. Jenkins likes Allen, and Allen is going to be a very good player in the NBA, we must remember he is still getting comfy at the NBA level after starting his 2nd season now in the league, not to mention that he was looking at not playing any at all this season with his knee injury, but due to the shut-down, now he is healthy and ready to play. Have to like the up-tick in minutes for Allen yesterday, and with the Grizz needing that guard depth, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him stay in the 23-26-minute range. He did put up 23.8 DK fantasy points yesterday, while doubling his shot total to nine FGAs, compared to just four in their first game. At near minimum price, if we can get 20+ DK points, this is a win for our roster.
TOP: Brandon Ingram ($8,100) – First off, you guys don’t need me to tell you to play LBJ or not, secondly, I think that Ingram is due for quite a bounce-back tonight, as his last game against the Clippers did not go well. Ingram only saw 24 minutes in that game due to the blow-out, and as a result only put up 15.5 DK fantasy points. Tonight, Ingram will have a much better, and easier matchup against the Grizzlies in what should be a nice up-tempo affair as well. Ingram is still second on the team in usage sitting at 28.0% for the first two games since the restart, only second to Zion at 30.4%. Ingram has a nice track-record against the Grizzlies, as they played twice in the earlier part of the season where he averaged 29.5 mpg, 22.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.0 bpg, and 0.5 spg, with a 26.2% usage rate. Look for the bounce-back tonight, and hopefully after his dud against the Clippers we get much lower ownership with folks likely paying up for LBJ.
MID: TJ Warren ($7,400) – Like most of you, I am not crazy about the price on Warren tonight, and likely will feel like a chase play after his huge performance in the Pacer’s first game against the Sixers. However, we need to remember the Pacers are already without Sabonis, who was a major influence on offense, and they are likely to also be without Oladipo due to rest on back-to-back and COULD also be without Malcolm Brogdon. We know Warren is going to be the main source of offense for the Pacers, and really the sky is the limit as long as his usage continues to be north of 30%. This is just a no-brainer with such un-appealing options in the SF list.
VALUE: JJ Redick ($3,700) – Just can’t pass up this value on Redick either at this price. Redick, like Ingram, was hugely affected by the blow-out in the Pel’s loss to the Clippers in their most recent game. As a result, Redick played one of his least amounts of minutes on the floor for the whole year at just 17 minutes, and this also led to a poor 11.5 DK fantasy point effort. This could potentially lower some ownership on him as well, much like Ingram going into tonight’s clash with Memphis. Remember, lots of tempo between these two teams, not a bunch of great defense, and Redick also led the team in usage after their first game against Utah where he notched out 21 actual points, four rebounds, and three dimes in 26 minutes on the floor, which was also good for 30.5 DK fantasy points. Don’t be afraid to take on some Redick tonight.
TOP: Anthony Davis ($9,800) – Mostly anytime I get a chance to roster AD at less than $10K, I am going to try to make him my focal point of my line ups. Not to mention, he gets a favorable matchup against the Jazz, who can’t seem to get right after two games in the restart. AD has yet to play less than 35 minutes in both games they have played against TOR and LAC, while putting up 35 and 49 DK fantasy points respectively. He also hasn’t had the nuclear 80-point fantasy effort yet either, which is the one we will be searching for tonight. He faced off against two pretty good defensive teams in the Laker’s first two games in TOR and LAC, but tonight that all changes, and I hate to say it, but the Jazz will have no answer at all for AD’s size and athleticism.
MID: Jaren Jackson Jr. ($6,200) – Jaren has played well since the restart for the Grizz. He has put up 33 and 44 DK fantasy points in both games and has played 35 and 43 minutes as well. He has taken double-digit shot attempts in both, while accruing three blocks and three steals as well. He is also second on the team in terms of usage rate at 23.7%, only behind Ja Morant at the lead with 27.5% over that two-game span. Here is to prayingthat he will stay out of foul-trouble and play another 35+ minute outing in a very nice matchup against the Pel’s in a high-pace, up-tempo affair. Inthe lone matchup between these two teams in the earlier part of the season, Jaren played 31 minutes, scored 19 points, grabbed six boards, dished out one assist, and swatted two shots, while carrying a modest 23.4% usage rate.
VALUE: Drew Eubanks ($3,800) – This is literally another high-risk, high-reward play in Eubanks tonight. We saw the Spurs struggle to find answers to starting Center for the Grizzlies in Jonas Valanciunas, so much like that instance tonight with Joel Embiid and company for the Sixers, I think Eubanks could have a shot at decent minutes once again. Among all the great things that Embiid does well already, one of those things includes getting opposing defenders in foul trouble, and that is exactly what happened to Jakob Poeltl against the Grizzlies, in which led to a 23-minute outing for Eubanks. I know Eubanks didn’t exactly blow the doors off, only securing a 17 DK fantasy point effort, however, in the event that he gets extra garbage run, or gets 23-25 minutes as a result, he could meet at least 5x his salary value. It’s risky, there is no doubt about that, and this one isn’t for the faint at heart, it is for the true gamblers!
TOP: Joel Embiid ($10,300) – I really don’t have to sell you guys on Embiid tonight, as he is my clear-cut number one play on the slate. He gets an under-sized Poeltl as a defender tonight, and should smash this matchup, much like he did against Myles Turner and the Pacers as he went for 41 actual, 21 boards, four dimes, three swats, and one steal in route to an 81.3 DK fantasy point effort. Let me list the size and weights for these two in this matchup tonight. Jakob Poeltl is 7’0 and 225 pounds, Joel Embiid is also 7’0, however he is 280 pounds. You do the math.
MID: Thomas Bryant ($6,300) – Byrant is fresh off a near 60 DK fantast point effort against the Nets on Sunday and gets another favorable matchup here tonight against the Pacers. We mentioned the game above that Embiid had against the Pacers, and I am not saying Bryant can or will replicate Embiid’s performance, however, at his price he can crush value with the games he has been having since the restart. Bryant is seeing lots of run, having played 34 and 37 minutes in both games, and he has been super active shooting the ball 12 and 20 times in both, while securing an average of 10 boards, three dimes, 1.5 steals, and 1.0 blocks.
VALUE: Jaxson Hayes ($3,000) – With these value plays, I mean I am really throwing out some high-risk, high-reward plays, and again I will say play these at your own risk, but Hayes is another ultra-salary saver on tonight’s slate. Hayes has played back-to-back 20-minute outings, and he has been productive. He put up 22.5 fantasy points against the Clippers (I realize it was garbage, but he still played 20 minutes against Utah) on a nine-point, eight board, two dimes, and one steal performance. In both games since the restart, he has gathered at least 7+ rebounds, dished at least one dime, and scored three and nine actual. Once again, he isn’t going to wow you, but he did hit for 7.5x his value at the price in their last game. Nonetheless, he is also seeing 20 minutes a game, and we know minutes mean opportunities.