What’s up everyone! How’d that nasty Harry Giles chalk that half of you ate last night taste? I’m sorry too soon? Don’t chase substitutes that aren’t a sure thing nor have a good body of work. Dedmon came in at minimum price and crushed last night. People, stop punting so much! We want players that have legitimate 30 FPT potential or more! Look at picking your players as if you were shopping at the supermarket! You want moldy old grapes because they’re on sale? Or do you want some nice non-organic fresh grapes that are on sale that you know will taste great? Maybe that’s not the best comparison but it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to get that! Stop punting so much, In a GPP you realistically only need one decent punt the most! Search for the value and stop living in the past! I have DFS Amnesia! It works, trust me..Wait what was I saying? Ok, without further ado, Let’s BREAK SOME SLATES!!!!

Also, for news, injury updates, and my personal gut feelings on who to play after this article is posted, Be sure to check me out on my Twitter handle.

@BreaknSlates

Disclaimer: Remember people, I am not a professional, just an avid NBA fan who loves the sport and loves DFS. We are betting on human beings here which is probably the hardest thing to bet on. Some days we will win. Some days we will lose.  I will never argue with any member of any community about who they want to play on any given night. However, if you would like my opinion on a particular player I will gladly help you any way that I can if you ask me. My slogan is “If you like him, play him”. It’s your money and I can’t spend it for you. If I don’t get back to you right away, it’s because I am just like you and work a full time job and I do this in my down time here. I promise to get back to you.  Some players who are studs I may not mention in detail here in this article but will be displayed in the “Players I like but did not mention here” portion of the write up towards the end. All stats mentioned are accurate as of today and screenshots can be provided upon request. Credit: Fantasy Sports Degens,RotoWire, Fantasy Alarm, and DFS Wolfpack.

Favorite Plays on the Slate:  (In no particular order) ( PG-C position)

Trae Young (ATL) vs. HOU ($9,700) PG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  48.5 FPTs

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  3rd worst (HOU) 98.6 avg per game.

Usage percentage on team:  34.5% (Leads team)

Projected FPTs tonight:  54.1 FPTs

Ceiling:  58.6 FPTs

Nice spot for Young tonight with Westbrook taking the night off for rest. Young leads the Hawks in usage and will put up a ton of shots against a Houston team that can’t spell the word defense.

Jamal Murray (DEN) @ DAL ($7,200) PG/SG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  38.0 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  4th worst (DAL) 96.6 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  24.9% (2nd on team) 

Projected FPTs tonight:  35.0 FPTs

Ceiling:   50.4 FPTs

Good paced game. Murray has a high ceiling tonight and could be a sneaky good low owned mid-tier option at point guard.

Donovan Mitchell (UTA) vs. NY ($8,400) PG/SG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  40.3 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  5th worst (NY) 95.3 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  31.0% (Leads team)

Projected FPTs tonight:  42.3 FPTs  

Ceiling: 47.4 FPTs

I don’t love his price but his usage and matchup tonight I can’t look past. 218 point spread means there will be plenty of scoring to be had. Nice spend up option and he throws up a ton of shots each night.

James Harden (HOU) @ ATL ($12,800) PG/SG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  65.3 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  17th worst (ATL) 80.3 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team: 37.5% (Leads team)  

Projected FPTs tonight: 72.7 FPTs   

Ceiling:  74.3 FPTs

You should never fade Harden, especially when Westbrook is not on the floor. Could be a monster night, I’m not even scared of a blowout factor. He dropped 60 FPTs on the Hawks in their last meeting in only 30 minutes on the floor. His price is a little higher now but keep in mind, Westbrook DID play the last time the Rockets played the Hawks. Tonight, he’s all by his lonesome. 

Kemba Walker (BOS) vs. SA ($8,100) PG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  35.3 FPTs   

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  7th worst (SA) 90.9 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  28.5% (3rd on team) 

Projected FPTs tonight:  39.4 FPTs  

Ceiling:  51.9 FPTs 

Keep an eye on injury reports leading up to tip, It was just an illness so there should be no minutes restrictions. He will probably be low owned and has a high ceiling if he plays. 

Kyle Lowry (TOR) @ CHA ($8,600) PG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  40.7 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing PG’s Last 5:  10th worst (CHA) 84.1 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team: 23.4% (3rd on team)  

Projected FPTs tonight:  40.0 FPTs 

Ceiling: 51.1 FPTs 

I don’t love the price here either but can’t deny the matchup or his ceiling. Lowry averages 2.2 more FPTs on the road as opposed to home and he will have the ball in his hands a ton tonight with no VanVleet or Siakam. 

Damion Lee (GS) vs. MIL ($5,600) SG/SF

Average FPTS last 5 games:  28.1 FPTs      

Opponent vs opposing SG’s Last 5:  Worst (MIL) 104.3 avg per game.  

Usage percentage on team:  20.1% (Tied for 3rd on team with Russell out)

Projected FPTs tonight: 28.6 FPTs 

Ceiling: 39.3 FPTs 

Don’t forget Lee can go off at any time and on a larger slate like this, these value plays matter. Nice value play here at shooting guard that could most likely be overlooked. 

Jaylen Brown (BOS) vs. SA ($7,400) SG/SF

Average FPTS last 5 games: 38.7 FPTs      

Opponent vs opposing SG’s Last 5:  8th worst (SA) 92.1 avg per game.

Usage percentage on team:  24.2% (5th on team) 

Projected FPTs tonight: 34.6 FPTs 

Ceiling:  42.7 FPTs 

Kevin Huerter (ATL) vs. HOU ($6,200) PG/SG

Average FPTS last 5 games:  34.4 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing SG’s Last 5:  9th worst (HOU) 88.3 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  18.5% (5th on team with Jabari Parker out) 

Projected FPTs tonight:  31.0 FPTs 

Ceiling:  34.8 FPTs 

Evan Fournier (ORL) vs. WAS ($6,000) SG/SF

Average FPTS last 5 games:  25.2 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing SG’s Last 5:  10th worst (WAS) 87.3 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  24.6% (3rd on team)  

Projected FPTs tonight: 32.5 FPTs  

Ceiling:  36.7 FPTs

Nice sneaky play here. 

Jimmy Butler (MIA) @ IND ($8,200) SG/SF

Average FPTS last 5 games: 44.5 FPTs   

Opponent vs opposing SG’s Last 5:  12th worst (IND) 82.6 avg per game.  

Usage percentage on team: 25.3% (Leads team)   

Projected FPTs tonight:  37.8 FPTs 

Ceiling:  56.0 FPTs 

Butler is probable and should suit up for this one. Keep an eye on injury reports up until tip off. He’s in a great position to produce for us tonight if his back is feeling better. 

Khris Middleton (MIL) @ GS ($7,100) SG/SF 

Average FPTS last 5 games: 34.5 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing SF’s Last 5:  3rd worst (GS) 101.1 avg per game.  

Usage percentage on team: 26.2% (2nd on team)   

Projected FPTs tonight:  37.6 FPTs 

Ceiling:  42.4 FPTs 

Gordon Hayward (BOS) vs. SA ($7,100) SF/PF

Average FPTS last 5 games:  34.8 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing SF’s Last 5: 5th worst (SA) 96.8 avg per game.  

Usage percentage on team:  20.7% (6th on team)   

Projected FPTs tonight:  37.5 FPTs   

Ceiling:  46.4 FPTs 

Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) @ GS ($11,500) SF/PF

Average FPTS last 5 games: 53.3 FPTs    

Opponent vs opposing PF’s Last 5:  4th worst (GS) 90.9 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  37.5% (Leads team)  

Projected FPTs tonight: 58.5 FPTs   

Ceiling: 71.8 FPTs 

Absolute smash spot! Well priced! 

Lauri Markkanen (CHI) @ NO ($6,900) PF/C 

Average FPTS last 5 games: 32.5 FPTs     

Opponent vs opposing PF’s Last 5: 7th worst (NO) 80.3 avg per game.   

Usage percentage on team: 21.5% (5th on team)   

Projected FPTs tonight:  33.8 FPTs 

Ceiling:  46.1 FPTs 

Could be sneaky. 

Brandon Ingram (NO) vs. CHI ($8,800) SF/PF

Average FPTS last 5 games:  42.7 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing PF’s Last 5:  12th worst (CHI) 72.6 avg per game.

Usage percentage on team: 29.1% (Leads team)   

Projected FPTs tonight:   40.7 FPTs 

Ceiling:  53.2 FPTs 

I don’t love his price but Chicago stinks against opposing front courts. Ingram could be in for a big night.

Clint Capela (HOU) vs. ATL ($7,800) Center 

Average FPTS last 5 games:  41.5 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing Centers Last 5:  4th worst (ATL) 76.2 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team: 15.8% (5th on team with Westbrook out) 

Projected FPTs tonight:  43.7 FPTs 

Ceiling:  49.8 FPTs 

Nikola Vucevic (ORL) vs. WAS ($9,000) Center 

Average FPTS last 5 games:  45.4 FPTs 

Opponent vs opposing Centers Last 5:  6th worst (WAS) 68.7 avg per game.  

Usage percentage on team:  25.4% (2nd on team)

Projected FPTs tonight: 50.0 FPTs   

Ceiling:  53.0 FPTs 

Rudy Gobert (UTA) vs. NY ($7,900) Center

Average FPTS last 5 games:  36.0 FPTs  

Opponent vs opposing Centers Last 5: 12th worst (NY) 65.8 avg per game. 

Usage percentage on team:  16.3% (7th on team)  

Projected FPTs tonight:   44.9 FPTs   

Ceiling:  47.8 FPTs 

Myles Turner (IND) vs. MIA ($5,600) Center

Average FPTS last 5 games: 27.2 FPTs     

Opponent vs opposing Centers Last 5:  15th worst (MIA) 63.4 avg per game.

Usage percentage on team:  18.2% (8th on team)

Projected FPTs tonight: 31.6 FPTs   

Ceiling:  36.6 FPTs 

Bam Adebayo (MIA) @ IND ($8,300) Center

Average FPTS last 5 games:  34.5 FPTs   

Opponent vs opposing Centers Last 5: 17th worst (IND) 63.2 avg per game.

Usage percentage on team:  19.7% (6th on team)  

Projected FPTs tonight:  39.4 FPTs  

Ceiling:  53.6 FPTs 

I am not paying up for Luka tonight. You can if you want to but he’s too expensive for the value on this slate in my opinion. Giannis is a much better bargain.

The Core 5:   (These are my favorite players at every position tonight. These are not locks as I don’t believe in ever calling a player a lock. These are my favorite plays at every position and are not meant to be a method of an example lineup. The Core 5 has been a section I’ve received requests to do by our followers of the website and in the fb group I do the article for as well. Without further ado, here are my Core 5.

PG:   James Harden (HOU) vs. ATL ($12,800) PG/SG

SG:   Jaylen Brown (BOS) vs. SA ($7,400)  SG/SF 

SF:    Jimmy Butler (MIA) @ IND ($8,200)  SG/SF 

PF:    Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) @ GS ($11,500) SF/PF 

Center:  Clint Capela (HOU) vs. ATL ($7,800) Center 

Thank you for reading!!! Break’n Slates will be back Friday!!!!