First off, I want to say, I am not the best MLB capper out there. There are tons of others out there that I would tail this season. But I wanted to get a better scope of betting MLB for myself as well. I like betting on Trends, that is one thing I will be doing in MLB, but I also found some good reads on ActionNetwork for MLB and set some rules for betting baseball.

  • Reverse Line Movement: teams receiving less than 30% of moneyline bets with at least 1-cent RLM have produced +87.96 units won. Divisional underdogs receiving less than 30% of moneyline bets with at least 1-cent RLM it improves to +125.56 units won since 2005.
  • Weather related Unders: Under when the wind is blowing in at 5 MPH or more, the under has won 55.1% of the time, producing +98.46 units won.
  • Weather Related Overs: If the wind is blowing out at 8 MPH or more, the over has won 52.8% of the time since 2005, winning +68.67 
  • Sunday Night Baseball: Less than 40% of bets with at least 1-cent of reverse line movement have cashed 60% of the time