Welcome back Sport Degens for another exciting year of NFL DFS. I have broken down all 17 weeks from 2018 to discuss stacks, value and roster construction.
Lets begin by airing it out.
The QB position salary averaged $5,800 last year with an average score of 36.6 FPTS for a 6.3X value. A total of 9 QBs landed on the perfect lineup last year with 6 QBs landing on the perfect lineup multiple times. The most occurring QBs were Mitchell Trubrisky & Josh Allen which appeared 3 times each. The other 4 QBs to appear multiple times were Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers & Drew Brees.
Next we bust it up the gut and take it to the house.
The RB position salary averaged $8,200 (RB1) & $6,300 (RB2) with an average score of 36 FPTS & 33 FPTS for a 4.4X & 5.3X value. A total of 20 RBs landed on the perfect lineup last year with 6 RBs landing on the perfect lineup multiple times. The most occurring RBs were Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey & Todd Gurley which appeared 4 times each. The other 3 RBs that appeared on the perfect lineup multiple times were James Conner (3x), Ezekiel Elliott (3x) & Saquon Barkley (2x).
Now it is time to toast some CBs
The WR position salary averaged $7,200 (WR1), $5,400 (WR2) & $4,500 (WR3) with an average score of 35 FPTS, 34 FPTS & 30 FPTS for a 4.8X, 6.2X & 6.5X value.
A total of 41 WRs landed on the perfect lineup last year with 8 WRs landing on the perfect lineup multiple times. The most occurring WRs were Adam Thielen & JuJu Smith-Schuster which appeared 3 times each. The other 6 WRs that appeared on the perfect lineup multiple times were Michael Thomas (2x), Davonte Adams (2x), Tyreek Hill (2x), Mike Evans (2x), Chris Godwin (2x) & Robbie Anderson (2x).
Next up we look at TE
The TE position salary averaged $4,900 last year with an average score of 28.1 FPTS for a 5.7X value. A total of 11 TEs landed on the perfect lineup last year with 4 TEs landing on the perfect lineup multiple times. Travis Kelce was the most occurring TE which appeared 4 times. The other 3 TEs to appear multiple times were Zach Ertz (2x), Eric Ebron (2x) & George Kittle (2x).
Get your guns out because it is time to FLEX!!!
The FLEX position salary averaged $4,100 last year with an average score of 33.1 FPTS for a 7.9X value. The perfect lineup FLEX position utilized the RB 47% (8/17), WR 29% (5/17) & TE 24% (4/17) on the year.
Time to get your D out and put a “Stop” to this!
The DST position salary averaged $2,700 last year with an average score of 18.7 FPTS for a 6.8X value. A total of 15 DST landed on the perfect lineup last year with 2 DST landing on the perfect lineup multiple times. CIN (2x) & BAL (2x) were the two defenses that were on the perfect lineup multiple times.
Now lets stack ‘em up
Multiple stacks occurred 7/17 weeks (41%). Three player stack occurred 4/17 weeks (18%) Game stack occurred 1/17 weeks (6%) Week #1 NO vs ATL
The QB was stacked 14/17 weeks (82%). The QB was stacked 14/17 potential times (82%). The RB was stacked 7/17 weeks (41%). The RB was tacked 10/51 potential times (20%) including FLEX. The WR was stacked 16/17 weeks (94%). The WR was stacked 20/68 potential times (29%) including FLEX The TE was stacked 4/17 weeks (23%). The TE was stacked 3/34 potential times (9%) including FLEX. The DST was stacked 2/17 weeks (12%)
QB/WR 7/17 (41%) QB/RB 1/17 (6%) QB/RB/WR 2/17 (12%) QB/WR/WR 1/17 (6%) QB/TE 1/17 (6%) QB/WR/DST 1/17 (6%) QB/DST 1/17 (6%) RB/WR 6/17 (35%) RB/TE 1/17 (6%) WR/WR 2/17 (12%) WR/TE 1/17 (6%)
Moving forward for the 2019 season I would recommend stacking you QB/WR as a great strategy which were combined 11 of the 17 weeks (65%). The next best stack was the RB/WR which were combined 7/17 weeks (41%) and twice in one week.
The QB position you will need to find value early and often. One backup QB (Week 1) and three rookie QBs (8 Starts) combined for 9 of the 17 weeks on the perfect lineups.
The RB position you will need to find the top RBs with the best matchups. Also utilize injury news to find the backup RB on good teams. A high percentage of the time you need to ensure your RB has hands as it only adds value for fantasy. Only get cute with your RB if you are filling in on your FLEX position.
The WR position you will need a high dollar high target player (WR #1) and generally two speedsters that run your underneath & deep routes. At this position you players will need to get the 7-10 receptions, 100 yards and 1-2 touchdowns to land on the perfect lineup.
The TE position is a mixture of paying up and looking for low price value guy. Similar to the WR position you will need to get 7-10 reception, near 100 yards and a minimum of one touchdown. Focus on QBs that love to throw to their TE and also injury news to WR which will increase the exposure to the TE position. The FLEX position is where the injury news really comes into play. Finding the value players along with a great matchup is key.
The DST position is all about finding that cheap defense versus those nasty weak offenses.