Week 5 Recap:
Pittsburgh: Diontae Johnson
Buffalo: Dawson Knox
Look Ahead Defense: Green Bay Packers
The good news for Diontae Johnson was that he played 92% of the Steelers offensive snaps in week 5, the same amount as Juju Smith-Schuster, and bested him in targets as Johnson saw 8 to Smith Schuster’s 7. The bad news is that Mason Rudolph got injured in week 5 and is expected to be out for at least week 6. Third-string QB Devlin Hodges did show a few bright spots in his relief appearance so if you’re struggling to find a better fill-in it’s safe to stick with Johnson.
Dawson Knox only registered 2 catches for 12 yards against Tennessee in week 5. However, he was tied for the team lead in targets with 5 and Buffalo has a much softer schedule after their week 6 bye, starting with week 7 against Miami.
Green Bay faced Dallas last week, recording 3 sacks, and surrendering 24 points. The Packers DST did about as expected against a team that leads the NFL in yards per game, and is tied for 9th in yards per game.
Unexpectedly, Duke Williams jumped up to second on the Bills wide receiver depth chart in week 5. After being signed off the practice squad he received 4 targets in his first week of action, which tied him for 3rd most on the team with T.J. Yeldon. The Bills must’ve liked what they saw as they traded Zay Jones to the Raiders on Tuesday.
When within a touchdown the Bills rank around league average in both pass play percentage(14th highest) and pace(20th fastest). Those numbers and the likelihood that Dawson Knox continues to be more involved as the season goes on means Williams will likely be a boom or bust player the rest of the way.
The Zay Jones trade opens up playing time for Duke Williams in Buffalo, but it also gives Zay Jones a chance to become fantasy relevant again in Oakland. The Raiders are on a bye in week 6 giving Jones a chance to learn the playbook and get settled in Oakland. Tyrell Williams is expected to return in week 7, but Jones can have plenty of value as the WR2 in this offense. Carr’s average time to throw is 4th fastest, which will produce plenty of quick-hitting opportunities for Jones to record short receptions and give him a reasonable floor going forward.
Look Ahead Defense:
Kansas City Chiefs DST
The Kansas City DST is currently owned in only 14% of ESPN leagues, and will be playing the Broncos in week 7. Kansas City had at least 3 defensive stats (sack, fumble recovery, or interception) each week until last week when they were only able to intercept Jacoby Brissett a single time. Playing with a lead creates more passing situations for the opposing offense, in turn creating more opportunities for a defense to register sacks, produce turnovers and get fantasy points. They weren’t able to do that against Indiapolis, but I expect them to be able to take advantage of Denver in week 7.
Josh Allen (QB – Buffalo)
This is a carry over from week 5, but Josh Allen is down to 50% owned in ESPN leagues, and has a string of nice matchups coming up after his week 6 bye. If he was dropped in your league at any time over the last two weeks you should grab him if you’re going to need a quarterback sometime between weeks 7 and 12. His post bye schedule is Miami, Philadelphia, Washington, Cleveland, Miami, and Denver. Miami, Washington and Philly are all in the top 5 of most points allowed to opposing quarterbacks.