The city of Toronto just issued a mandate that no public gatherings will be allowed until July 1st at the earliest. That essentially means this team, and no other MLB team will be playing baseball until at least July if I were to guess.  This team is stacked with young talent that is going to be fun to watch for years to come with the likes of Bo Bichette, Vlad Guerrero Jr., and Cavan Biggio. Never have I seen a team where the core players are sons of former baseball greats.  All 3 made their major league debuts last year and showed flashes of brilliance, especially Bichette. They will be staples in every Blue Jays stack on DFS sites this year.

From a season-long fantasy league perspective, let’s look at the Jays average draft positions (ADP). It seems as if both Bichette and Guerrero Jr. are going in the late 5th or early 6th round in your standard 12 team snake draft. Both 3B and SS are stacked this year. For me, Bichette will very likely outperform his ADP and provide a lot of value for you. I would rather wait to take Bichette in the 5th round than Turner in the first round and would just look for SB elsewhere. As for Vlad Jr., I expect big things from him this year but do not reach for him. Let him fall to you in those rounds if you are keen on taking him. There will be more growing pains coming this year for him and he is not nearly as complete of a hitter as Bichette is at this stage. For myself, I will very likely avoid him if I must take him in those early rounds.

 There is only another player to love from your fantasy hitter perspective outside of that core trio and that is Lourdes Gurriel. Both Biggio and Gurriel are looking like early mid-round picks (11-13th round). I’ll preview Biggio more in-depth below, but Gurriel is a great source of power and should see ample opportunities with men on base with that core trio hitting ahead of him. Outside of these 4 hitters, most people will look at Randall Grichuk as a late-round pick for a source of power as he hit 31 HR and a .225 ISO last year. That is really all he provides as he hit for a dismal .305 wOBA with a 5.6% BB rate and a 26% K rate. For us DFS players, he did have a pitch value of 12.6 vs. sinkers, so keep an eye out for opposing pitchers with sinkers and his splits against them. I would prefer Teoscar Hernandez who had a higher wOBA (.325) and ISO (.244) than Grichuk and he is going much later, if at all, in drafts. 

As for Blue Jays pitchers, there is only one starting pitcher to even consider for your drafts and for most slates on DFS: Hyun-Jin Ryu. For DFS players, we are always trying to find value from starting pitchers especially on 2 SP sites like Draft Kings, so take it slate by slate for starting pitchers. Do your research and look at projections. For fantasy leagues, you can expect Ryu to be taken in the 11-13th round. He has tremendous value if he can stay healthy. He has only pitched over 180 innings twice in his six-year career. Last year was easily his best year and Ross Atkins awarded him with a 4yr/80M contract. He was phenomenal last year posting a 3.1 FIP/3.32 xFIP/50% GB rate over 180 innings and had a 6.68 K/BB ratio. The only caution that I would note is that he now pitching in the AL East and will face much steeper competition on a nightly basis and will not be in a pitcher-friendly park anymore. Being a DFS Pro for the last 5 years, and not taking part in season-long leagues like I used to, it is easy for me to forget mentioning closers, but Ken Giles is a solid early mid-round pick, He posted 23 saves last year (hopefully that will go up given the influx of young talent) with a 2.27 FIP/2.73 xFIP and a 4.87 K/BB ratio. As long as he has that filthy slider going, he will be a top 12 closer in the league.

Breakout Player

Cavan Biggio

Many people would put Vlad Jr. here and there is an argument to do so, but Biggio provides production in every category and I am betting on him outproducing Vlad Jr. this year. Biggio is one of my favorite young fantasy players in the game. Last year in only 430 at-bats, he posted a .343 wOBA/.186 ISO/2.4 WAR w 14 SB and a 16.5 BB rate/28.6 K rate. I am expecting big things from Biggio this year, and I expect that K rate to drop after looking at his plate discipline numbers. His Swing% was 11% below the league average and his O-Swing% was 16% better than league average. Even with a drop in K% by 4-5 percentage points, that will equate to more hits and potentially more walks. As I mentioned earlier, he is going in the 11th-13th round, and with his position eligibility, he provides for substantial value given his ADP.

Bust

 

Vlad Guerrero Jr.

Ok, let me clarify first. As I mentioned earlier, this kid showed flashes of brilliance last season and will be a centerpiece of this team for years to come. He is not a “bust” in your traditional sense, but given where he is being drafted, I do not think he will be putting up numbers befitting of his ADP. I could absolutely be eating my words come seasons end as this kid has the talent and has produced astronomical numbers in the minors. If you are in a dynasty league, I would jump all over him, but for this 2020-2021 season, I will avoid taking him that early. 

MVP

Bo Bichette

This kid is a stud at 22 years old. He will be leading off for the Blue Jays for years to come. He will provide a steady and productive presence on this Blue Jays team (and yours) and will only get better with more experience. For the next 10 years, there are maybe only 2 shortstops that I would rather have than him (Wander Franco/TB and Fernando Tatis Jr./SD). In just 212 AB’s he produced a .384 wOBA/.260 ISO/1.7 WAR. The only negative with Bichette is his walk rate at 6.6%, but he has never shown the ability to produce at a very high walk rate. That is the only part of his game that will need improvement going forward. Even with that issue, he will perennially be a .300/.350/.550 guy. That is top tier production from the SS position. Jump on Bichette if given the opportunity. 

Justin has been a DFS pro for 5 years now, focusing primarily on NHL and MLB. He has won numerous tournaments on Draft Kings and FanDuel and has made it to multiple live finals for hockey. Prior to becoming a DFS pro, he was an associate scout for the Toronto Blue Jays. 

Twitter: @HadudeDFS