By: Lou Landers – https://twitter.com/LandersTalks
Baker Mayfield – 5,900 vs MIA
The Browns have now looked better for the past 2 weeks and they get to host the Dolphins who are one of the worst teams in football and who rank 26th vs the QB in draft kings scoring. Baker also has more than half his total TD in the past 4 weeks and just 1 of his 12 INT during that time. He is turning the corner and the Dolphins don’t have the personnel on defense to slow down any of his weapons.
Kareem Hunt – 5,600 vs MIA
The Dolphins rank 30th against RBs in DFS and Hunt has proven to be a big focal point in the Browns passing game in his first 2 games this season. Hunt has seen 17 targets during that time, catching 13 of them for 90 yards. He is getting a bit of work in the running game as well and has yet to score a TD and this could be the week for that. It could come through the air which makes him an intriguing option to pair with Mayfield. His pass catching ability has also given him a safe floor.
James White – 5,300 vs DAL
The Cowboys rank 23rd vs RBs this season and they also love to blitz. The Pats are a great screen team, which is kryptonite to teams who do blitz. I could see White leading the Pats in receptions in this game while racking up 75 or more total yards and a TD. There should be a lot of scoring in this game as well, meaning white will be part of the game script from start to finish. He has a safe floor every week.
Julio Jones – 8,000 vs TB
Tampa ranks dead last in the league vs the WR position and Julio is one of the best WR in the NFL. He has seen no less than 8 targets over his past 5 games and has no less than 79 yards during that time either. This should be a high scoring game where Julio could see double digit targets, catching at least 8 balls for close to 150 yards and a TD.
Jarvis Landry – 6,300 vs MIA
He seems to be Mayfield’s top pass catching option, evident by his 40 targets over the past 4 weeks and he has scored a TD in 3 straight games. I want to not only pair him with Mayfield, but i also love his matchup vs the Dolphins team that ranks 21st against opposing WR. He is cheaper than OBJ and has produced more in fantasy. As a former Dolphin, there is also an interesting narrative here for Landry to burn his former team.
Tyrell Williams – 5,900 at NYJ
The Jets rank 29th in the league vs the WR and Tyrell Williams is the Raiders top WR option. He has had a nose for the end zone this season and hasn’t gotten one in 3 straight weeks which means he is due. Williams is averaging an impressive 15.4 yards per reception this season, but has topped out at a high of 7 targets in any game. With such a juicy matchup, his targets could rise, even a little which would lead to a season high in catches and yards. Add a possible TD to that mix and you have a WR1 at a WR3 price.
Ben Watson – 3,100 vs DAL
Watson is very cheap and has been involved in the passing game the past couple weeks. The most notable stat with Watson is that he was on the field for 59 of the teams 74 offensive snaps in week 11 which means he will continue to get opportunities, especially against this Cowboys team that ranks 30th in the league vs opposing TE this season.
Jamison Crowder – 6,200 vs OAK
The Raiders rank 30th in the league vs the WR position and there has been no better WR on the Jets this season than Crowder, especially when Darnold has been under center. Crowder has at least 76 yards and 1 TD in each of the past 3 weeks and is seemingly a lock for double digit points because of his target share.
Bears – 3,700 vs NYG
They are a good defense, they’re playing at home and they face Daniel Jones who has thrown 8 int and fumbled 13 times this season. He turns the ball over a ton and this bears defense should feast on it, they are an opportunistic unit.