Track: Indianapolis

Laps: Saturday: 160

Dominator points: 120

Fast Laps: 80

Laps Led: 40

Welcome Degens, we head to the Brickyard this weekend, one of the crown jewels on the schedule, teams will bring good equipment to try and kiss the bricks.  Jimmie Johnson is out of the 48 this week as he and his wife tested positive for COVID-19, wish them both a speedy recovery.  This breakdown will be different than previous as we have no practice or qualifying to go off of, the first laps on the track will be green flag race runs.  I will post my 2-3 favorite plays in each price range in this write-up and a fade or two in each as well.  Give me a follow on Twitter @radjer_DFS

Let’s dive into Saturday’s race, as always all data points are from the last 6 races unless noted.

10k+:

Faves:

Kevin Harvick (11):  Top play in this range Avg finish of 4.67 and DK points of 57.21 over the last 6 here, won here last year and finished 8th or better the last 6.  Offers some PD upside and has been one of the fastest cars since the return.

Kyle Busch (7):  Won here in 2015, 2016, and was battling MTJ for the win in 2017 when both wrecked.  Knows how to get around this place, but his recent comments on needing practice have me concerned just hasn’t been the same this year.  13.83 avg finish and 47.25 DK avg.

Denny Hamlin (6): He and Harvick had the two best cars last weekend finishing 1-2 both races and this track is similar in style.  Avg finish of 6.33 and 53.21 DK avg over the last 6.

Fades:  

Christopher Bell (35): Different week, Same story.  Offers PD upside but his tag makes him hard to play this weekend,  will need a top 5 to pay off.

8k-9.9k:

This range is loaded with plays, but here are my Faves.

Clint Bowyer (22): Like Bowyer here starting spot offers good upside and has an avg finish of 14.00 here over the last 6 and back to back top fives.  32.83 DK avg.

William Byron (18): Has Chad on the pit box and he knows how to set a car up for this place, finished 4th last year here, and has an 11.5 avg finish and 48.0 DK avg in his two starts here.

Joey Logano (1): 5.5 avg finish and 43.54 DK avg starting from pole could lead some laps, but his pit stall won’t be ideal.

My fades:

Justin Allgaier (4):  Filling in for JJ and will have to go the rear on the pace laps.  Priced at 6600 but putting him here since he’s in the 48 car.

6k-7.9k

My Faves

Matt Kenseth (21):  Veteran drive in good equipment, knows how to get around this place in his last 5 races here avg finish of 6.00 and 56.10 DK avg.  starting 21st offers some value

Ty Dillon (29):  starting 29th offers PD upside with his avg finish of 17.67 and 36.33 DK avg 

Cole Custer (30): starting spot provides upside and ran well last week in the Poconos.

My fades:

Aric Almirola (5): avg finish of 22.33 and DK of 23.67 just doesn’t offer me enough value to play.

The Rest 6k below:

Don’t really see the need to go this low this week with pricing but if need be

Michael McDowell (27): Different week, Same story for McDowell, been rock solid since the return of Nascar.

Ryan Preece (36): Great starting spot and ran well last week also, starting near the back both races. 

Fades:

Smithley, Poole, Houff,  Gase, Mcleod, Bilicki, Yeley IMO

Thanks again for reading and good luck this weekend, jump in the slack chat with us for race day chat and adjustments.