2020 Draft Season is coming up and Fantasy Baseball research has been ongoing for many, wanted to highlight some guys that I think could have some serious profit potential in the 15 team redraft leagues. Feel free to ask me anything or follow me on Twitter @bieryplox33
Top 50 Overall Here: https://fantasysportsdegens.com/fantasy-baseball-2020-top-50/
Ace: Clayton Kershaw
Heading into his age 32 season, Kershaw carries all the injury flags despite the already reduced price, but Kershaw has thrown at least 175 IP in 2 of the past 3 seasons for the Dodgers. So if innings aren’t the issue, is it is his eroding stuff? Maybe, but he’s averaged a 2.7 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP from 2017-2019 and should post SP1 numbers again at age 32 in 2020.
Honorable Mention: Charlie Morton
SP2: Aaron Nola
Nola was projected to be a nice mid-rotation arm after coming out of L.S.U. (7th overall pick in the 2014 Draft )as a coveted arm, but Nola outdid his expectations. Nola actually did ace numbers in 2018, causing his 2019 price to skyrocket. Expect something between 2018 and 2019, as he’s not an ace’s ace, but he is close. His HR/9 was elevated in 2019 (1.2 HR/9). In comparison to his career mark of .97 HR/9, Nola should represent some safety in a pool of inconsistent performers (414.2 IP with a 3.1 ERA/1.12 WHIP over his last 2 seasons combined.)
Honorable Mention: James Paxton
SP3: Madison Bumgarner
Everything depends on the landing spot, but I think if MadBum heads to a less than ideal home park, there could be a buying opportunity if the market over-corrects. In terms of baseline skills MadBum still carries a 24% K Rate and a 5% BB Rate, in addition to supreme 1.13 WHIP. At just 30 years old, Bumgarner is far from done, and he provides a great floor and could rack up wins on a better ball club.
Honorable Mention: Zac Gallen
SP4: Brendan McKay
In terms of floor, McKay may not be a good option, but I buy the core skills of a McKay after dominating the Double A and Triple A levels over 73.2 IP and posting a 1.1 ERA and a .81 WHIP. Tampa could put in an opener ahead of him, leading to higher odds at a win. McKay should prove to be relatively cheap, and Tampa deserves the benefit of the doubt these days.
Honorable Mention: Max Fried
SP5 Mike Minor:
After improbably beating the odds in Texas, Minor delivered fantasy investors 200 K’s, not bad for a draft afterthought. Consider him a steady innings guy for now.
Honorable Mention: Caleb Smith
SP6: Jose Urquidy
Urquidy avoided free passes in 2019 (7 BB’s in 40 IP), in his debut season, allowing him to pitch to a 1.10 WHIP in year one. Role is uncertain here, but the team context could allow for a profitable situation.
Honorable Mention: AJ Puk
SP7: Zach Davies
Davies was boring yet reliable in 2019, providing a useful 3.55 ERA to fantasy owners. That number may rise in San Diego, but he’s dirt cheap and could be a useful streamer (again).
Honorable Mention: Adrian Houser
Closer 1: Aroldis Chapman
Chapman continues to dominate and Yankees should provide opportunity. In terms of his strikeout stuff, Chapman should be elite again, he has fanned 40% of the batters he has faced for his career, and the velocity remains in tact. He also has avoided brutal overuse, being under 60 IP every year since 2015. Buy again.
Honorable Mention: Josh Hader
Closer 2: Hansel Robles
Adding premium velocity and finding a closing opportunity turned Robles into a fire-breathing 9th inning outman. New skipper Joe Maddon usually likes a main closing option and Robles is looking like that guy.
Honorable Mention: Brandon Workman